Rapid
vs
FC Botosani
Liga I prediction
Our model says: Rapid 1–0 FC Botosani
The model makes it 56% Rapid, 25% draw, 19% FC Botosani — fair odds of 1.79, 4.00 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Rapid 1.91, FC Botosani 0.88.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
Edge to Rapid: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Rapid's rating is built from 55 Romanian Liga I matches and FC Botosani's from 55, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 760 matches.
Key facts
- Rapid are 3rd on 31 points from 15 games; FC Botosani are 12th on 15 points from 15 games — Liga I.
- Rapid have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Farul Constanta.
- FC Botosani are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Oțelul.
- Last 6 meetings: Rapid 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 27 July 2026, ended FC Botosani 1–1 Rapid.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Rapid vs FC Botosani
Has the model earned this number?
Rapid at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Rapid vs FC Botosani
Rapid
Liga I
- D1-1away to Farul Constanta7 November 2026
- W2-0Csikszereda30 October 2026
- L1-4away to FCSB24 October 2026
- W2-0Corvinul Hunedoara17 October 2026
- W4-3away to Universitatea Cluj12 October 2026
FC Botosani
Liga I
- D1-1Oțelul9 November 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Craiova1 November 2026
- L1-3Petrolul Ploiesti23 October 2026
- L0-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti16 October 2026
- W2-0Uta Arad10 October 2026
What these results say
- Rapid scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Botosani failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Botosani scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Botosani conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rapid | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 12 | FC Botosani | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Rapid
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 7% today
FC Botosani
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 16% today
From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Rapid vs FC Botosani
- 27 July 2026FC Botosani 1–1 RapidLiga I
- 8 December 2025FC Botosani 0–0 RapidLiga I
- 4 August 2025Rapid 2–1 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 17 February 2025Rapid 1–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 31 October 2024FC Botosani 0–2 RapidCupa României
- 6 October 2024FC Botosani 2–0 RapidLiga I
Leading scorers: Rapid and FC Botosani
Rapid
GoalsAssists
- A. Dobre60
- F. Stojilković41
FC Botosani
GoalsAssists
- A. Dumiter70
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Rapid a 7.1% chance of the title and FC Botosani 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rapid the highest probability at 56%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.91 expected goals for Rapid against 0.88 for FC Botosani. Rapid's attack/defence rating is 0.77/1.29 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.66 for FC Botosani.
How the model reaches 56% for Rapid to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Rapid to win. Then home advantage adds 7 points, Rapid's ratings add 7 points and FC Botosani's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 56%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage43%+7
- Rapid's ratings50%+7
- FC Botosani's ratings56%+6
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Rapid at home · FC Botosani away
League matches only, Liga I, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
RapidFC Botosani
Rapid are 3rd after 15 Liga I matches (between 1st and 7th so far); FC Botosani are 12th after 15 (between 2nd and 14th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: Rapid 15, FC Botosani 15.
Rapid score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); FC Botosani have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Rapid
- at CFR 1907 Cluj5 Dec · Liga Iwin 33%
- vs Uta Arad12 Dec · Liga Iwin 55%
- at Dinamo Bucuresti19 Dec · Liga Iwin 25%
- vs Petrolul Ploiesti16 Jan · Liga Iwin 54%
FC Botosani
- vs Universitatea Cluj5 Dec · Liga Iwin 33%
- at Corvinul Hunedoara12 Dec · Liga Iwin 26%
- vs FCSB19 Dec · Liga Iwin 38%
- at Csikszereda16 Jan · Liga Iwin 39%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.