FCSB
vs
Csikszereda
Liga I prediction
Our model says: FCSB 2–0 Csikszereda
The model makes it 61% FCSB, 24% draw, 15% Csikszereda — fair odds of 1.64, 4.17 and 6.67.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (13%).
Expected goals: FCSB 2.02, Csikszereda 0.75.
Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
One-sided: FCSB are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. FCSB's rating is built from 56 Romanian Liga I matches and Csikszereda's from 54, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 760 matches.
Key facts
- FCSB are 8th on 21 points from 15 games; Csikszereda are bottom on 6 points from 15 games — Liga I.
- FCSB have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Corvinul Hunedoara.
- Csikszereda have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Universitatea Cluj.
- Last 4 meetings: FCSB 2 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 26 July 2026, ended Csikszereda 0–2 FCSB.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FCSB vs Csikszereda
Has the model earned this number?
FCSB at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FCSB vs Csikszereda
FCSB
Liga I
- L0-1Corvinul Hunedoara7 November 2026
- L0-1away to Universitatea Cluj2 November 2026
- W4-1Rapid24 October 2026
- W2-1away to FC Voluntari19 October 2026
- W1-0Oțelul10 October 2026
Csikszereda
Liga I
- D0-0Universitatea Cluj7 November 2026
- L0-2away to Rapid30 October 2026
- W2-1FC Voluntari24 October 2026
- D1-1away to Oțelul16 October 2026
- L0-1Universitatea Craiova11 October 2026
What these results say
- FCSB conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Csikszereda failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Csikszereda conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Csikszereda had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FCSB | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 21 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FCSB
Chance to finish in the top six · 38% today
Csikszereda
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 95% today
From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: FCSB vs Csikszereda
- 26 July 2026Csikszereda 0–2 FCSBLiga I
- 1 May 2026Csikszereda 1–0 FCSBLiga I
- 1 February 2026FCSB 1–0 CsikszeredaLiga I
- 14 September 2025Csikszereda 1–1 FCSBLiga I
Leading scorers: FCSB and Csikszereda
FCSB
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Csikszereda
GoalsAssists
- M. Eppel50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FCSB the highest probability at 61%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.02 expected goals for FCSB against 0.75 for Csikszereda. FCSB's attack/defence rating is 0.73/1.57 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.43/1.85 for Csikszereda.
How the model reaches 61% for FCSB to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for FCSB to win. Then home advantage adds 7 points, FCSB's ratings add 11 points and Csikszereda's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 61%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage43%+7
- FCSB's ratings54%+11
- Csikszereda's ratings61%+7
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
FCSB at home · Csikszereda away
League matches only, Liga I, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
FCSBCsikszereda
FCSB are 8th after 15 Liga I matches (between 1st and 10th so far); Csikszereda are 16th after 15 (between 15th and 16th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: FCSB 15, Csikszereda 15.
FCSB score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Csikszereda have let in 6 there.
Csikszereda score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); FCSB have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
FCSB
- at Farul Constanta5 Dec · Liga Iwin 33%
- vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe12 Dec · Liga Iwin 58%
- at FC Botosani19 Dec · Liga Iwin 34%
- vs CFR 1907 Cluj16 Jan · Liga Iwin 42%
Csikszereda
- vs Arges Pitesti5 Dec · Liga Iwin 31%
- vs Farul Constanta12 Dec · Liga Iwin 29%
- at Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe19 Dec · Liga Iwin 25%
- vs FC Botosani16 Jan · Liga Iwin 31%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.