Rapid Vienna
vs
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: Rapid Vienna 2–0 WSG Wattens
The model makes it 51% Rapid Vienna, 26% draw, 23% WSG Wattens — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Expected goals: Rapid Vienna 2.03, WSG Wattens 0.98.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: High.
Published · updated
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens
Every scoreline the model considered
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell is one exact result, shaded against the likeliest one; figures below 1% are left blank rather than rounded to zero. Blue cells are Rapid Vienna wins, grey are draws, red are WSG Wattens wins — the three shaded areas ARE the 1/X/2 split above, which is the sum of the cells in each. The most likely scoreline is simply the darkest cell inside whichever area the model favours.
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rapid Vienna at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens
Rapid Vienna
- W3-0away to Wolfsberger AC12 September 2026
- L1-5away to Red Bull Salzburg2 September 2026
- W3-1Sturm Graz30 August 2026
- W8-0Grazer AK16 August 2026
- W2-1away to Ried9 August 2026
WSG Wattens
- D2-2TSV Hartberg13 September 2026
- W1-0away to Austria Vienna2 September 2026
- W4-0away to Austria Lustenau28 August 2026
- L0-3Red Bull Salzburg16 August 2026
- L1-3away to SCR Altach7 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 15 |
| 5 | WSG Wattens | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens
- 9 November 2025WSG Wattens 1–1 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 14 September 2025Rapid Vienna 4–1 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 23 November 2024WSG Wattens 0–0 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 18 August 2024Rapid Vienna 2–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 5 December 2023WSG Wattens 1–2 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 27 August 2023Rapid Vienna 1–1 WSG WattensBundesliga
Leading scorers: Rapid Vienna and WSG Wattens
Rapid Vienna
- T. Adamsen4 goals1 assists
- P. Dahl3 goals
- Y. Demir2 goals2 assists
WSG Wattens
- M. Olakigbe2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Rapid Vienna carry a model rating of 6.55 against 6.33 for WSG Wattens. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.03 goals for Rapid Vienna and 0.98 for WSG Wattens. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Rapid Vienna rate 0.78 in attack and 1.43 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; WSG Wattens rate 0.57 and 1.60.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Rapid Vienna a 52.5% chance of the title and WSG Wattens 0.1%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rapid Vienna the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.03 expected goals for Rapid Vienna against 0.98 for WSG Wattens. Rapid Vienna's attack/defence rating is 0.78/1.43 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.6 for WSG Wattens.