Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Grazer AK 2-2 Austria Vienna.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Grazer AK, 29% draw, 24% Austria Vienna — fair odds of 2.13, 3.45 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Grazer AK at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna
Line-ups
- 23C. StankovićG
- 82B. OwusuD
- 21M. SollbauerD
- 27Y. OberleitnerD
- 14J. ItalianoM
- 34P. MichorlM
- 24C. CvetkoM
- 32L. KlassenM
- 25A. HofleitnerF
- 11M. GroßeF
- 10C. LichtenbergerF
- 3L. Vraa-JensenD
- 48M. GraggerD
- 30Christoph HasenhuttlD
- 9D. MadernerF
- 72Petar MarkovicD
- 1J. MeierhoferG
- 26C. NichtG
- 2D. PinesD
- 7A. SmitsF
- 1S. Şahin-RadlingerG
- 46J. HandlD
- 15A. DragovićD
- 3I. BuhariD
- 26R. RanftlM
- 30M. FischerM
- 5V. MüllerM
- 17Lee Tae-SeokM
- 7V. MarkovicM
- 14K. BoatengF
- 19J. EggesteinF
- 22F. WustingerM
- 13L. WedlG
- 21Matteo SchablasM
- 10S. SaljicM
- 6Philipp MaybachM
- 16Lee Kang-HeeM
- 99M. KosG
- 20J. HettwerF
- 4J. FeddersenD
Form going into Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
- W2-1away to SCR Altach12 September 2026
Austria Vienna
Bundesliga
- W2-1Austria Lustenau13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grazer AK | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 10 |
| 11 | Austria Vienna | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna
- 31 January 2026Austria Vienna 2–0 Grazer AKFriendlies Clubs
- 8 November 2025Austria Vienna 2–1 Grazer AKBundesliga
- 3 August 2025Grazer AK 2–2 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 1 March 2025Grazer AK 1–2 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 5 October 2024Austria Vienna 2–1 Grazer AKBundesliga
Leading scorers: Grazer AK and Austria Vienna
Grazer AK
GoalsAssists
- A. Hofleitner40
Austria Vienna
GoalsAssists
- J. Eggestein30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Grazer AK and Austria Vienna drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Grazer AK at 47% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Alexander Hofleitner 15' for Grazer AK, Manfred Fischer 45' for Austria Vienna, Jacob Italiano 55' for Grazer AK, Kang-Hee Lee 81' for Austria Vienna.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.