Rapid Vienna
vs
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: Rapid Vienna 2–0 Wolfsberger AC
The model makes it 72% Rapid Vienna, 18% draw, 10% Wolfsberger AC — fair odds of 1.39, 5.56 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (13%).
Expected goals: Rapid Vienna 2.55, Wolfsberger AC 0.66.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,453 settled matches.
One-sided: Rapid Vienna are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 23 October 2026. Rapid Vienna's rating is built from 43 Austrian Bundesliga matches and Wolfsberger AC's from 42, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 444 matches.
Key facts
- Rapid Vienna are top on 24 points from 9 games; Wolfsberger AC are bottom on 5 points from 9 games — Bundesliga.
- Rapid Vienna are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 3-1 win at home to TSV Hartberg.
- Wolfsberger AC have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to WSG Wattens.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 3 wins each, 0 draws; the most recent, 12 September 2026, ended Wolfsberger AC 0–3 Rapid Vienna.
More Austrian Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rapid Vienna at 72% here. Across 4,444 settled matches (as of 23 October 2026), 358 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 64.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.6%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Form going into Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
- W3-1TSV Hartberg16 October 2026
- W2-0away to Lask Linz11 October 2026
- W3-0WSG Wattens18 September 2026
- W3-0away to Wolfsberger AC12 September 2026
- L1-5away to Red Bull Salzburg2 September 2026
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
- L0-2WSG Wattens18 October 2026
- L0-3away to SCR Altach11 October 2026
- L1-4away to Ried20 September 2026
- L0-3Rapid Vienna12 September 2026
- L1-3Lask Linz1 September 2026
What these results say
- Rapid Vienna scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Rapid Vienna won 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Rapid Vienna had three goals or more.
- Wolfsberger AC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Wolfsberger AC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Wolfsberger AC had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 24 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC
- 12 September 2026Wolfsberger AC 0–3 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 21 February 2026Rapid Vienna 2–0 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 24 August 2025Wolfsberger AC 1–2 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 4 May 2025Rapid Vienna 0–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 20 April 2025Wolfsberger AC 5–1 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 8 February 2025Rapid Vienna 1–3 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
Leading scorers: Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
GoalsAssists
- P. Dahl50
- T. Adamsen42
- E. Kara41
Wolfsberger AC
GoalsAssists
- G. Vrioni40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Rapid Vienna carry a model rating of 6.73 against 6.18 for Wolfsberger AC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.55 goals for Rapid Vienna and 0.66 for Wolfsberger AC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Rapid Vienna rate 0.89 in attack and 1.13 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Wolfsberger AC rate 0.45 and 1.75.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Rapid Vienna a 48.8% chance of the title and Wolfsberger AC 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,146 correct results out of 4,446 settled predictions (48%), with 446 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rapid Vienna the highest probability at 72%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.55 expected goals for Rapid Vienna against 0.66 for Wolfsberger AC. Rapid Vienna's attack/defence rating is 0.89/1.13 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.45/1.75 for Wolfsberger AC.
How the model reaches 72% for Rapid Vienna to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Rapid Vienna to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, Rapid Vienna's ratings take away 7 points and Wolfsberger AC's ratings add 36 points, which lands on the published 72%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- Rapid Vienna's ratings36%−7
- Wolfsberger AC's ratings72%+36
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Rapid Vienna at home · Wolfsberger AC away
League matches only, Bundesliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Rapid ViennaWolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna are 1st after 9 Bundesliga matches (between 1st and 3rd so far); Wolfsberger AC are 12th after 9 (between 2nd and 12th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Bundesliga matches this season: Rapid Vienna 9, Wolfsberger AC 9.
Rapid Vienna score most often in the 0–15 minute window (8 goals); Wolfsberger AC have let in 5 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Rapid Vienna
- at Grazer AK21 Nov · Bundesligawin 57%
- at Austria Lustenau28 Nov · Bundesligawin 62%
- vs Lask Linz5 Dec · Bundesligawin 45%
Wolfsberger AC
- vs Ried22 Nov · Bundesligawin 31%
- at Austria Vienna28 Nov · Bundesligawin 22%
- vs Austria Lustenau6 Dec · Bundesligawin 41%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.