Randers FC
vs
Lyngby
The model makes it 19% Randers FC, 20% draw, 61% Lyngby — fair odds of 5.26, 5.00 and 1.64. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (9%).
Expected goals: Randers FC 1.27, Lyngby 2.32.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%, under 2.5: 30%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Randers FC
- L0-1away to FC Nordsjaelland2 August 2026
- D1-1Silkeborg27 July 2026
Lyngby
- D2-2Aarhus1 August 2026
- L2-3away to FC Copenhagen26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Randers FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 8 | Lyngby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Randers FC vs Lyngby
- 21 February 2025Lyngby 0–0 Randers FCSuperliga
- 6 October 2024Randers FC 1–1 LyngbySuperliga
- 5 May 2024Lyngby 2–1 Randers FCSuperliga
- 31 March 2024Randers FC 6–2 LyngbySuperliga
- 23 February 2024Randers FC 1–0 LyngbySuperliga
- 20 August 2023Lyngby 1–0 Randers FCSuperliga
Leading scorers
Randers FC
No league goals recorded yet.
Lyngby
- S. Colyn1 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Randers FC carry a model rating of 6.41 against 6.87 for Lyngby. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Randers FC D-L; Lyngby L-D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.27 goals for Randers FC and 2.32 for Lyngby. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Randers FC rate 0.55 in attack and 1.35 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Lyngby rate 1.23 and 1.22.
That points to 70% for over two and a half goals and 65% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 211 correct results out of 450 settled predictions (47%), with 45 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Lyngby the highest probability at 61%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.27 expected goals for Randers FC against 2.32 for Lyngby. Randers FC's attack/defence rating is 0.55/1.35 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.23/1.22 for Lyngby.