Silkeborg
vs
Odense
The model makes it 39% Silkeborg, 23% draw, 38% Odense — fair odds of 2.56, 4.35 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Silkeborg 1.74, Odense 1.72.
Both teams to score: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Silkeborg
- L1-3FC Copenhagen2 August 2026
- D1-1away to Randers FC27 July 2026
Odense
- W1-0Sonderjyske3 August 2026
- L0-1away to Viborg24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Silkeborg | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 6 | Odense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Silkeborg vs Odense
- 3 May 2026Odense 2–3 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 12 April 2026Silkeborg 3–1 OdenseSuperliga
- 7 November 2025Odense 1–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 14 September 2025Silkeborg 2–1 OdenseSuperliga
- 24 January 2025Silkeborg 2–2 OdenseFriendlies Clubs
- 29 October 2023Silkeborg 0–0 OdenseSuperliga
Leading scorers
Silkeborg
- O. Ross2 goals
Odense
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Silkeborg carry a model rating of 6.32 against 6.47 for Odense. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Silkeborg D-L; Odense L-W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.74 goals for Silkeborg and 1.72 for Odense. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Silkeborg rate 0.63 in attack and 1.81 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Odense rate 0.68 and 1.46.
That points to 67% for over two and a half goals and 68% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%).
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Odense, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 234 correct results out of 488 settled predictions (48%), with 47 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Silkeborg the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.74 expected goals for Silkeborg against 1.72 for Odense. Silkeborg's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.81 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.46 for Odense.