RAAL La Louvière
vs
Gent
Jupiler Pro League prediction
The model makes it 32% RAAL La Louvière, 25% draw, 43% Gent — fair odds of 3.13, 4.00 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: RAAL La Louvière 1.44, Gent 1.69.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
RAAL La Louvière
No earlier matches on record this season.
Gent
- W2-0KV Mechelen9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
Where they stand. RAAL La Louvière has not started the league season yet. Full tables
The two sides
RAAL La Louvière carry a model rating of 6.63 against 6.87 for Gent. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Gent W.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.44 goals for RAAL La Louvière and 1.69 for Gent. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
RAAL La Louvière rate 0.80 in attack and 1.23 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Gent rate 0.98 and 0.95.
That points to 60% for over two and a half goals and 63% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gent the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.44 expected goals for RAAL La Louvière against 1.69 for Gent. RAAL La Louvière's attack/defence rating is 0.8/1.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.98/0.95 for Gent.