Pumas UNAM vs Club Queretaro Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Pumas UNAM 0-0 Club Queretaro.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Pumas UNAM, 28% draw, 37% Club Queretaro — fair odds of 2.86, 3.57 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Club Queretaro at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pumas UNAM vs Club Queretaro
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1K. NavasG
- 24T. LeoneD
- 6Nathan SilvaD
- 5R. DuarteD
- 45P. ViteM
- 7R. LopezM
- 8A. CarrasquillaM
- 18V. ArteagaM
- 21U. AntunaM
- 31R. MoralesF
- 23JuninhoF
- 35P. LaraG
- 2P. BennevendoD
- 34A. AzuajeD
- 12C. CalderonD
- 199K. Carranza
- 20S. TrigosM
- 203S. GarciaM
- 9G. MartinezF
- 22A. MedinaF
- 25G. AllisonG
- 24B. DuarteD
- 13D. ReyesD
- 2L. AbasciaD
- 27D. ParraD
- 4C. GarciaM
- 5S. HomenchenkoM
- 16E. GimenezM
- 20A. AlcalaM
- 12Paulo VictorM
- 9A. AvilaF
- 1J. HernandezG
- 29W. MadridM
- 28J. ArellanoM
- 22J. UnjanqueM
- 18E. DuenasM
- 8B. ParraM
- 199S. GarciaM
- 35J. CazaresM
- 30J. MartinezM
Form going into Pumas UNAM vs Club Queretaro
Pumas UNAM
All competitions we cover
- W5-1away to FC Juarez1 August 2026
- W2-1away to Toluca22 July 2026
- L0-3CF Pachuca18 July 2026
Club Queretaro
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Tigres UANL1 August 2026
- W2-1away to CF Pachuca27 July 2026
- L0-1Club America19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pumas UNAM | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pumas UNAM vs Club Queretaro
- 11 January 2026Pumas UNAM 1–1 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 26 July 2025Club Queretaro 0–2 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
- 19 January 2025Club Queretaro 3–2 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
- 6 November 2024Pumas UNAM 2–0 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 27 April 2024Club Queretaro 1–1 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
- 5 October 2023Pumas UNAM 4–0 Club QueretaroLiga MX
Leading scorers: Pumas UNAM and Club Queretaro
Pumas UNAM
GoalsAssists
- Juninho91
- R. Morales54
Club Queretaro
GoalsAssists
- A. Ávila60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Pumas UNAM and Club Queretaro drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Club Queretaro at 37% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.66–0.68.