Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Pumas UNAM 2-3 Atletico San Luis.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Pumas UNAM, 26% draw, 24% Atletico San Luis — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Pumas UNAM at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis
Line-ups
- 1K. NavasG
- 7R. LópezD
- 6Nathan SilvaD
- 34Á. AzuajeD
- 2P. BennevendoD
- 21U. AntunaM
- 18V. ArteagaM
- 15I. LunaM
- 10C. HuertaM
- 14L. HerreraF
- 23JuninhoF
- 35P. LaraG
- 202Julio Cesar Dominguez CastillejosD
- 24T. LeoneD
- 199K. CarranzaD
- 30Santiago López LópezF
- 22A. MedinaF
- 26Á. RicoM
- 19J. RivasD
- 184Manuel Sánchez ValdézM
- 25G. LajudG
- 30B. GalindoD
- 31E. ÁguilaD
- 18A. CruzD
- 2R. TorresM
- 21Ó. MacíasM
- 10S. Salles-LamongeM
- 17A. DuarteM
- 11D. RodríguezM
- 22Rafa LlorenteM
- 99F. MoraF
- 13J. CaicedoM
- 16Lucas EstevesD
- 20L. FloresF
- 7B. GaldamesM
- 5R. MerazM
- 19S. MuñózF
- 8L. NájeraM
- 26S. Pérez BouquetM
- 6JuanpeD
Form going into Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis
Pumas UNAM
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Atlas19 September 2026
- L0-3away to Guadalajara Chivas14 September 2026
- W3-1Leon11 September 2026
- L0-2away to Club Tijuana29 August 2026
- D1-1Necaxa24 August 2026
Atletico San Luis
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Necaxa19 September 2026
- L0-2away to Leon15 September 2026
- L0-3Guadalajara Chivas5 September 2026
- W3-1away to Monterrey31 August 2026
- D1-1CF Pachuca23 August 2026
What these results say
- Pumas UNAM conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Pumas UNAM failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Atletico San Luis conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pumas UNAM | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis
- 18 April 2026Atletico San Luis 0–2 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
- 23 October 2025Pumas UNAM 0–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 3 February 2025Atletico San Luis 2–3 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
- 20 October 2024Pumas UNAM 3–0 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 20 January 2024Atletico San Luis 3–1 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
Leading scorers: Pumas UNAM and Atletico San Luis
Pumas UNAM
GoalsAssists
- Juninho81
- R. Morales44
Atletico San Luis
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Atletico San Luis won 3–2 at Pumas UNAM. The model had leaned towards a win for Pumas UNAM at 50% and given a win for Atletico San Luis 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Sebastien Salles-lamonge (penalty) 23' for Atletico San Luis, Rodrigo López 52' for Pumas UNAM, David Rodriguez 55' for Atletico San Luis, Sebastien Salles-lamonge (penalty) 79' for Atletico San Luis, Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnio (penalty) 90' for Pumas UNAM.
How the call on Pumas UNAM v Atletico San Luis has moved
First published on 13 Sep at 37% / 30% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 50% / 26% / 24%: the biggest move is Pumas UNAM's chance of winning, up 13 points.
- Pumas UNAM win50%▲ +13
- Draw26%▼ −4
- Atletico San Luis win24%▼ −9
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.