Puebla vs Santos Laguna Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Puebla 3-2 Santos Laguna.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Puebla, 26% draw, 34% Santos Laguna — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Puebla at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Puebla vs Santos Laguna
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 28D. GutierrezG
- 12I. MorenoD
- 5F. AlmadaD
- 4J. VargasD
- 7F. MonarrezD
- 27B. GarnicaM
- 24A. OrganistaM
- 16A. RamirezM
- 22C. BaltazarM
- 26K. VelascoF
- 29E. MustreF
- 33J. RodriguezG
- 15O. VillaD
- 20J. R. Pachuca MartinezD
- 2A. LeyvaD
- 10M. TomasM
- 3A. HerreraM
- 34Lucas CamiloM
- 21S. SanabriaM
- 9L. HernandezF
- 1C. AcevedoG
- 3M. CuevasD
- 18F. PardoD
- 25F. SanchezD
- 17E. EcheverriaD
- 8S. Mariscal MurraM
- 5A. LopezM
- 7D. GonzalezM
- 21F. VillalbaM
- 10E. BullaudeM
- 19E. AguirreF
- 33H. HolguinG
- 4J. AbellaD
- 14E. OronaM
- 28J. PerezD
- 22K. PiconD
- 6J. GuemezM
- 15J. ManchaM
- 26R. SordoM
- 77K. PalaciosM
Form going into Puebla vs Santos Laguna
Puebla
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to CF Pachuca18 August 2026
- D1-1Guadalajara Chivas1 August 2026
- L1-2away to Cruz Azul22 July 2026
- W1-0away to FC Juarez18 July 2026
Santos Laguna
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Guadalajara Chivas17 August 2026
- L0-3away to Club America2 August 2026
- L0-1Atlas26 July 2026
- L2-3away to Monterrey19 July 2026
What these results say
- Puebla scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Puebla conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in 3 of these 4 matches for Puebla.
- Santos Laguna did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Santos Laguna conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Santos Laguna failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 19 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Puebla vs Santos Laguna
- 22 March 2026Santos Laguna 2–1 PueblaLiga MX
- 26 July 2025Puebla 1–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
- 2 February 2025Santos Laguna 0–2 PueblaLiga MX
- 5 July 2024Puebla 1–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
- 31 January 2024Santos Laguna 3–0 PueblaLiga MX
- 8 July 2023Puebla 2–3 Santos LagunaLiga MX
Leading scorers: Puebla and Santos Laguna
Puebla
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Santos Laguna
GoalsAssists
- Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Puebla beat Santos Laguna 3–2. The model had made a win for Puebla its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: F. Almada (own goal) 4' for Santos Laguna, E. Mustre 9' for Puebla, E. Bullaude 51' for Santos Laguna, E. Mustre 53' for Puebla, C. Baltazar 62' for Puebla. On expected goals it finished 1.02–0.37.