Preston vs Lincoln Championship prediction & result
Final score: Preston 0-1 Lincoln.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Preston, 29% draw, 32% Lincoln — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Preston at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Preston vs Lincoln
Line-ups
- 1D. IversenG
- 20L. GibbsD
- 14J. StoreyD
- 24O. OffiahD
- 3A. VukčevićD
- 4H. ClarkeM
- 17S. MillsM
- 15J. ThompsonM
- 7A. DevineM
- 10C. LangF
- 38J. KennyF
- 21L. NichollsG
- 11T. SmallD
- 2Pol ValentínD
- 37D. BurgzorgF
- 9J. ErabiF
- 16A. HughesD
- 27L. LeroyM
- 6L. LindsayD
- 23A. MoranM
- 1G. WickensG
- 25D. ElereweD
- 4A. CoubișD
- 15S. BradleyD
- 33D. OyegokeM
- 8T. BaylissM
- 14C. McGrandlesM
- 3A. ReachM
- 7R. HackettM
- 18B. HouseM
- 17R. StreetF
- 24I. VarfolomeevM
- 34F. DraperF
- 46J. GauciG
- 16D. JefferiesM
- 26Y. KonakM
- 27C. OgbeneF
- 19I. OlaofeF
- 11M. LadefogedF
- 6R. TowlerD
Form going into Preston vs Lincoln
Preston
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Watford8 September 2026
- W2-1Blackburn5 September 2026
- L1-3Bristol City1 September 2026
- L0-1away to Charlton29 August 2026
- L1-3Wolves22 August 2026
Lincoln
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Southampton5 September 2026
- D0-0Blackburn1 September 2026
- W1-0away to Bolton29 August 2026
- L1-3Portsmouth22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Middlesbrough15 August 2026
What these results say
- Preston conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Preston failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Preston scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lincoln failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lincoln scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 5 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Preston vs Lincoln
- 12 July 2024Preston 0–1 LincolnFriendlies Clubs
The result against the call
Lincoln won 1–0 at Preston. The model had leaned towards a win for Preston at 39% and given a win for Lincoln 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: F. Draper 81' for Lincoln.
How the call on Preston v Lincoln has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 28% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 39% / 29% / 32%: the biggest move is Preston's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Preston win39%▼ −3
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Lincoln win32%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.