Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18 · 2 August 2026, 02:45 UTC

Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders

Providence Park, Portland

The model makes it 67% Portland Timbers, 19% draw, 14% Seattle Sounders — fair odds of 1.49, 5.26 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (10%).

Expected goals: Portland Timbers 2.31, Seattle Sounders 0.95.

Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

56%
Both teams to score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-0 10%2-1 10%1-1 9%

Head-to-head: Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders

  • 17 July 2026Seattle Sounders 1–5 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
  • 5 October 2025Seattle Sounders 1–0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
  • 18 May 2025Portland Timbers 1–1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • 20 October 2024Seattle Sounders 1–1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
  • 1 September 2024Portland Timbers 1–0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • 12 May 2024Portland Timbers 1–2 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Portland Timbers the highest probability at 67%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.31 expected goals for Portland Timbers against 0.95 for Seattle Sounders. Portland Timbers's attack/defence rating is 0.81/1.13 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/1.51 for Seattle Sounders.