Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Los Angeles Galaxy 0-0 FC Dallas.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Los Angeles Galaxy, 22% draw, 34% FC Dallas — fair odds of 2.27, 4.55 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Los Angeles Galaxy at 44% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12JT MarcinkowskiG
- 26Harbor MillerD
- 5Jakob GlesnesD
- 4Maya YoshidaD
- 14John NelsonD
- 22Elijah WynderM
- 15Justin HaakM
- 8Lucas SanabriaM
- 28Joseph PaintsilF
- 18Marco ReusF
- 21Robert TaylorF
- 7Kyogo FuruhashiF
- 16Isaiah ParenteM
- 76Troy ElgersmaM
- 1Novak MićovićG
- 3Julián AudeD
- 20Chris RindovD
- 25Carlos GarcésD
- 45Vicente GarciaM
- 90Brett PhanM
- 40Jonathan SiroisG
- 3Osaze UrhoghideD
- 32Nolan NorrisD
- 18Shaq MooreD
- 12Christian CappisM
- 14Herman JohanssonM
- 55KaickM
- 8Patrickson DelgadoM
- 77Bernard KamungoM
- 23Logan FarringtonF
- 9Petar MusaF
- 11Anderson JulioF
- 10Santiago MorenoF
- 25Sebastien IbeaghaD
- 33Clay HolstadM
- 1Michael CollodiG
- 5Lalas AbubakarD
- 21Joaquín ValienteM
- 27Caleb SwannM
- 28Sam SarverF
Form going into Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
- D1-1away to San Jose Earthquakes26 July 2026
- L1-3St. Louis City23 July 2026
- L0-3Los Angeles FC18 July 2026
FC Dallas
- L0-1away to San Diego26 July 2026
- D2-2away to Portland Timbers23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 30 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | +7 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas
- 2 August 2026Los Angeles Galaxy 0–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 19 April 2026FC Dallas 2–2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 12 October 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 4 October 2025FC Dallas 2–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 14 July 2024FC Dallas 2–0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 30 May 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 3–1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Los Angeles Galaxy and FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.
FC Dallas
- P. Musa18 goals5 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.