Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18 · 2 August 2026, 02:30 UTC

Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas

Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles

The model makes it 44% Los Angeles Galaxy, 22% draw, 34% FC Dallas — fair odds of 2.27, 4.55 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Los Angeles Galaxy 2.00, FC Dallas 1.76.

Both teams to score: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%, under 2.5: 27%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

72%
Both teams to score
73%
Over 2.5 goals
27%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 9%2-1 8%1-2 7%

Head-to-head: Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas

  • 19 April 2026FC Dallas 2–2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • 12 October 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
  • 4 October 2025FC Dallas 2–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • 14 July 2024FC Dallas 2–0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • 30 May 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 3–1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
  • 22 October 2023Los Angeles Galaxy 1–4 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Los Angeles Galaxy the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2 expected goals for Los Angeles Galaxy against 1.76 for FC Dallas. Los Angeles Galaxy's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.75 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.72/1.43 for FC Dallas.