Colorado Rapids
vs
Austin
The model makes it 52% Colorado Rapids, 26% draw, 22% Austin — fair odds of 1.92, 3.85 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Colorado Rapids 1.65, Austin 1.01.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Colorado Rapids vs Austin
- 8 June 2025Colorado Rapids 0–2 AustinMajor League Soccer
- 9 March 2025Austin 0–1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 20 October 2024Austin 3–2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 16 June 2024Colorado Rapids 2–0 AustinMajor League Soccer
- 1 October 2023Colorado Rapids 1–0 AustinMajor League Soccer
- 26 March 2023Austin 1–1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Colorado Rapids the highest probability at 52%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.65 expected goals for Colorado Rapids against 1.01 for Austin. Colorado Rapids's attack/defence rating is 0.53/1.41 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.65 for Austin.