Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 3 · 2 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central

Estadio Guillermo Laza, Buenos Aires

The model makes it 55% Deportivo Riestra, 27% draw, 18% Barracas Central — fair odds of 1.82, 3.70 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (15%).

Expected goals: Deportivo Riestra 1.54, Barracas Central 0.76.

Both teams to score: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%, under 2.5: 60%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

42%
Both teams to score
40%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-0 15%1-1 12%2-0 12%

Head-to-head: Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central

  • 1 February 2026Barracas Central 1–1 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 24 November 2025Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 6 December 2024Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 4 February 2024Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Barracas CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 25 March 2019Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Barracas CentralPrimera B Metropolitana
  • 26 February 2019Barracas Central 1–0 Deportivo RiestraPrimera B Metropolitana
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Deportivo Riestra the highest probability at 55%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.54 expected goals for Deportivo Riestra against 0.76 for Barracas Central. Deportivo Riestra's attack/defence rating is 0.65/1.01 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.54/1.25 for Barracas Central.