Aldosivi vs Gimnasia La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Aldosivi 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata.
Before kick-off the model made it 20% Aldosivi, 23% draw, 57% Gimnasia La Plata — fair odds of 5.00, 4.35 and 1.75. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gimnasia La Plata at 57% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Aldosivi vs Gimnasia La Plata
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23I. ChiccoG
- 33N. ZalazarD
- 2L. SigaliD
- 32J. PomboD
- 4R. GonzalezM
- 22A. SosaM
- 19L. CastroM
- 17F. LaurelliM
- 21M. GodoyF
- 29A. VombergarF
- 9N. CorderoF
- 42L. AcostaG
- 18A. ChavezF
- 25N. BreitenbruchD
- 5N. LinaresM
- 27T. FernandezF
- 14E. LopezD
- 16B. DadinF
- 10N. GaitanM
- 11A. PalavecinoF
- 23N. InsfranG
- 25A. SteimbachD
- 35J. CortazzoD
- 21E. MartinezD
- 24P. Silva TorrejonD
- 18M. SeoaneM
- 10N. SchelottoM
- 5I. MiramonM
- 8N. FernandezM
- 11J. MerloM
- 29A. AuzmendiF
- 15H. CastilloG
- 16A. MaxM
- 9M. ZalazarF
- 7M. PanaroF
- 31B. Barros SchelottoD
- 26F. TorresF
- 17L. JansonF
- 19A. ColazoF
- 37J. LangaD
Form going into Aldosivi vs Gimnasia La Plata
Aldosivi
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Barracas Central29 July 2026
- D1-1away to Defensa Y Justicia24 July 2026
Gimnasia La Plata
All competitions we cover
- W1-0River Plate29 July 2026
- L1-2away to Racing Club24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Aldosivi | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 11 |
| 3 | Gimnasia La Plata | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | +3 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Aldosivi vs Gimnasia La Plata
- 2 February 2026Gimnasia La Plata 3–1 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24 August 2022Gimnasia La Plata 0–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
- 25 September 2021Aldosivi 1–3 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
- 10 November 2019Aldosivi 0–3 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
- 25 February 2019Aldosivi 0–0 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Aldosivi and Gimnasia La Plata
Aldosivi
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
Gimnasia La Plata
GoalsAssists
- M. Torres92
- A. Auzmendi73
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gimnasia La Plata won 2–1 at Aldosivi. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Gimnasia La Plata at 57%. The goals: A. Auzmendi 40' for Gimnasia La Plata, A. Colazo 66' for Gimnasia La Plata, N. Gaitan 78' for Aldosivi. On expected goals it finished 0.87–0.91.