Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 3 · 2 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Aldosivi vs Gimnasia La Plata

Mar del Plata

The model makes it 20% Aldosivi, 23% draw, 57% Gimnasia La Plata — fair odds of 5.00, 4.35 and 1.75. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Aldosivi 1.02, Gimnasia La Plata 1.87.

Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

55%
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 11%1-2 10%0-1 10%

Head-to-head: Aldosivi vs Gimnasia La Plata

  • 2 February 2026Gimnasia La Plata 3–1 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 24 August 2022Gimnasia La Plata 0–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 25 September 2021Aldosivi 1–3 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 10 November 2019Aldosivi 0–3 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 25 February 2019Aldosivi 0–0 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 18 April 2017Gimnasia La Plata 1–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Gimnasia La Plata the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.02 expected goals for Aldosivi against 1.87 for Gimnasia La Plata. Aldosivi's attack/defence rating is 0.58/1.3 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.03/0.93 for Gimnasia La Plata.