Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Pohang Steelers 2-1 FC Seoul.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Pohang Steelers, 29% draw, 46% FC Seoul — fair odds of 4.00, 3.45 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Seoul at 46% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul
Line-ups
- 29Hong Sung-minG
- 17Shin Kwang-HoonD
- 20Park Chan-YongD
- 4Jeon Min-kwangD
- 77WandersonD
- 31K. NishiyaM
- 40Ki Sung-YuengM
- 16Kim Dong-JinM
- 70Hwang Seo-WoongF
- 7Won Ki-JongF
- 25Jorge TeixeiraF
- 1Yun Pyeong-GukG
- 2Eo Jeong-WonD
- 5Jin Si-woo
- 8Kim Seung-HoM
- 10J. TranziskaF
- 11J. da Rocha JuniorF
- 14Lee Chang-WooD
- 18Cho Sang-HyeokF
- 37Jung Han-MinF
- 25Gu Sung-YunG
- 16Choi JunD
- 5Y. Al ArabD
- 37J. RosD
- 22Kim Jin-SuD
- 7Jeong Seung-WonM
- 42J. SonM
- 6H. BabecM
- 27Moon Seon-MinM
- 10Anderson OliveiraF
- 9P. KlimalaF
- 8Lee Seung-MoM
- 14Jeong Hyeon-WooF
- 17Ahn Jae-minD
- 19Cheon Seong-HoonF
- 20Lee Han-DoD
- 21Jung Ha-wonM
- 31Kang Hyeon-MuG
- 66Park Soo-IlD
- 88Park Jang Han-GyeolM
Form going into Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul
Pohang Steelers
K League 1
- D2-2away to Daejeon Citizen12 September 2026
FC Seoul
K League 1
- W2-1away to Jeonbuk Motors12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 42 |
| 1 | FC Seoul | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 61 | 29 | +32 | 67 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul
- 22 July 2026FC Seoul 3–1 Pohang SteelersK League 1
- 18 March 2026Pohang Steelers 0–1 FC SeoulK League 1
- 9 November 2025Pohang Steelers 0–0 FC SeoulK League 1
- 18 October 2025FC Seoul 1–2 Pohang SteelersK League 1
- 29 June 2025FC Seoul 4–1 Pohang SteelersK League 1
Leading scorers: Pohang Steelers and FC Seoul
Pohang Steelers
GoalsAssists
- Lee Ho-Jae40
FC Seoul
GoalsAssists
- P. Klimala80
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Pohang Steelers beat FC Seoul 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Seoul at 46% and given a win for Pohang Steelers 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: K. Nishiya 3' for Pohang Steelers, Hwang Seo-Woong 39' for Pohang Steelers, P. Klimala (penalty) 51' for FC Seoul.
How the call on Pohang Steelers v FC Seoul has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 28% / 29% / 43% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 25% / 29% / 46%: the biggest move is Pohang Steelers's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Pohang Steelers win25%▼ −3
- Draw29%=
- FC Seoul win46%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.