FC Anyang vs Ulsan Hyundai FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: FC Anyang 2-1 Ulsan Hyundai FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% FC Anyang, 30% draw, 38% Ulsan Hyundai FC — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ulsan Hyundai FC at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Anyang vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
Line-ups
- 23Kim Jeong-HoonG
- 17Kang Ji-hunD
- 5Kim Young-ChanD
- 21Kwon Kyung-WonD
- 22Kim Dong-JinD
- 71Chae Hyun-wooM
- 18B. KnezevicM
- 33D. BakkerM
- 7Matheus OliveiraF
- 9Breno HerculanoF
- 47Kim GangF
- 3Kim Ji-hunD
- 8Kim Jung-HyunM
- 10I. JukicF
- 13K. HanM
- 19Kim UnF
- 24Kim Bo-KyungM
- 25J. KimD
- 27Choi Geon-JooF
- 31Kim Da-SolG
- 21Jo Hyeon-WooG
- 33Jang Si-YoungD
- 15Jung Seung-HyunD
- 19Kim Young-GwonD
- 26Cho Hyun-TaekD
- 24Lee Gyu-SeongM
- 55T. Oude KotteM
- 27PedrinhoM
- 10Lee Dong-GyeongM
- 11Erick FariasM
- 99Yago CarielloF
- 4Seo Myung-GuanD
- 6D. BojanicM
- 14Lee Jin-HyunM
- 16Park Woo-jinM
- 17Kang Sang-WooD
- 31Hwang Byeong-KeunG
- 38Park Yong-Woo
- 43M. JoM
- 72Baek In-WooM
Form going into FC Anyang vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
FC Anyang
K League 1
- D1-1away to Gwangju FC13 September 2026
Ulsan Hyundai FC
K League 1
- W2-1Incheon United12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Anyang | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 43 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 51 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Anyang vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
- 2 August 2026Ulsan Hyundai FC 3–1 FC AnyangK League 1
- 22 April 2026FC Anyang 1–1 Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
- 1 November 2025FC Anyang 3–1 Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
- 21 September 2025Ulsan Hyundai FC 0–0 FC AnyangK League 1
- 23 April 2025FC Anyang 0–1 Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
- 16 February 2025Ulsan Hyundai FC 0–1 FC AnyangK League 1
Leading scorers: FC Anyang and Ulsan Hyundai FC
FC Anyang
GoalsAssists
- Airton50
- Matheus Oliveira43
Ulsan Hyundai FC
GoalsAssists
- Yago Cariello101
- Lee Dong-Gyeong88
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Anyang beat Ulsan Hyundai FC 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Ulsan Hyundai FC at 38% and given a win for FC Anyang 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Matheus Oliveira 27' for FC Anyang, Lee Dong-gyeong 54' for Ulsan Hyundai FC, Breno Herculano Almeida (penalty) 61' for FC Anyang.
How the call on FC Anyang v Ulsan Hyundai FC has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 37% / 27% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 32% / 30% / 38%: the biggest move is FC Anyang's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- FC Anyang win32%▼ −5
- Draw30%▲ +3
- Ulsan Hyundai FC win38%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.