Dinamo Batumi vs Torpedo Kutaisi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Batumi 3-2 Torpedo Kutaisi.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% Dinamo Batumi, 26% draw, 18% Torpedo Kutaisi — fair odds of 1.79, 3.85 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Erovnuli Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Batumi at 56% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Batumi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
Line-ups
- 13N. KalichavaG
- 29I. TuritsovD
- 23M. KobakhidzeD
- 24D. CarlsonD
- 12L. LakvekhelianiD
- 8S. AltunashviliM
- 6A. MylchenkoM
- 18I. Oulad OmarM
- 22T. KirkitadzeF
- 7D. MandricencoM
- 20L. TsulukidzeM
- 1L. KupatadzeG
- 5Y. KalleyD
- 9MauridesF
- 15E. MahmutovicD
- 19N. KalandarishviliD
- 27L. ShengeliaF
- 35R. ChiteishviliD
- 37G. Putkaradze
- 39G. JaparidzeM
- 1O. GoshadzeG
- 15L. KupravaD
- 24L. LatsabidzeD
- 4M. SimicD
- 33M. StamatovD
- 11G. ArabidzeM
- 8M. ItrakM
- 7V. MamuchashviliM
- 14Felipe PiresF
- 9K. AndricF
- 17N. LominadzeM
- 5T. NadaraiaD
- 20D. SkorupM
- 22D. BukiaD
- 25G. GergedavaM
- 29M. ChitaishviliM
- 35D. DeisadzeM
- 38S. KopalianiG
- 39V. PinsonF
Form going into Dinamo Batumi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
Erovnuli Liga
- D2-2away to Dila13 September 2026
Torpedo Kutaisi
Erovnuli Liga
- W3-2Samgurali14 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 53 | 37 | +16 | 56 |
| 7 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 41 | +7 | 37 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Batumi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
- 26 August 2026Torpedo Kutaisi 2–4 Dinamo BatumiDavid Kipiani Cup
- 17 June 2026Torpedo Kutaisi 2–3 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
- 27 April 2026Dinamo Batumi 0–3 Torpedo KutaisiErovnuli Liga
- 8 November 2025Torpedo Kutaisi 5–1 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
- 29 August 2025Dinamo Batumi 2–2 Torpedo KutaisiErovnuli Liga
Leading scorers: Dinamo Batumi and Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 53 league goals as a side.
Torpedo Kutaisi
GoalsAssists
- K. Andrić82
- G. Arabidze58
- Felipe Pires30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dinamo Batumi beat Torpedo Kutaisi 3–2. The model had made a win for Dinamo Batumi its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: K. Andric 23' for Torpedo Kutaisi, T. Kirkitadze 45' for Dinamo Batumi, G. Japaridze 51' for Dinamo Batumi, D. Deisadze 77' for Torpedo Kutaisi, I. Oulad Omar 90' for Dinamo Batumi. Sent off: Mateo Stamatov (Torpedo Kutaisi) 59'.
How the call on Dinamo Batumi v Torpedo Kutaisi has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 47% / 28% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 56% / 26% / 18%: the biggest move is Dinamo Batumi's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- Dinamo Batumi win56%▲ +9
- Draw26%▼ −2
- Torpedo Kutaisi win18%▼ −7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.