20 September 2026, 07:30 UTC

Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC K League 1 prediction & result

Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Jeonbuk Motors 2-2 Gwangju FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Jeonbuk Motors, 29% draw, 26% Gwangju FC — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Jeonbuk Motors at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

29'
Chang-mu Shin
⚽Tiago Oroboassist: Kim Young-Bin
35'
44'
⚽Kim Tae-Hyeon (OG)
46'
🔁Jang Seok-Hwanout: Ahn Young-Kyu
46'
🔁Lee Min-Kiout: Park Won-Jae
46'
🔁H. Fridjonssonout: J. Iredale
Yeong-bin Kim
51'
🔁Kim Jin-Gyuout: Dodo
59'
🔁Lee Dong-Junout: Italo
59'
71'
🔁Joao Pedroout: Moon Min-seo
⚽Tiago Oroboassist: Cho Wi-Je
78'
83'
🔁Min Sang-Giout: Ri Yong-jik
🔁Lee Yeong-Jaeout: Maeng Seong-Ung
84'
🔁Lee Seung-Wooout: Kim Seung-Sub
84'
🔁J. Gamboaout: Bruno Mota
90+3'
90'
⚽J. Iredale

Match stats — Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC

63%Possession37%
25Shots13
9On target3
7Corners1

Line-ups

Jeonbuk Motors 4-2-3-1
  • 31Song Bum-KeunG
  • 77Kim Tae-HyeonD
  • 4Cho Wi-JeD
  • 2Kim Young-BinD
  • 23Kim Tae-HwanD
  • 16J. GamboaM
  • 97Kim Jin-GyuM
  • 7Lee Dong-JunM
  • 28Lee Yeong-JaeM
  • 10Lee Seung-WooM
  • 9Tiago OroboF
Substitutes
  • 1Lee Ju-hyeonG
  • 3Yeon Je-WoonD
  • 5Park Ji-SuD
  • 24Lee Sang-myungD
  • 6Maeng Seong-UngM
  • 11Kim Seung-SubF
  • 30DodoM
  • 95ItaloF
  • 99Bruno MotaF
Coach: Jung-Yong Chung
Gwangju FC 4-4-2
  • 23Kim Dong-HwaG
  • 3Lee Min-KiD
  • 39Min Sang-GiD
  • 2Jang Seok-HwanD
  • 17Joao PedroD
  • 50A. Ba LouaM
  • 10Choi Kyoung-RokM
  • 14Yu Je-HoM
  • 9Ha Seung-UnM
  • 11H. FridjonssonF
  • 40Shin Chang-MooF
Substitutes
  • 1Kim Kyeong-minG
  • 6Ahn Young-KyuD
  • 33Park Won-JaeD
  • 7E. SaitoskiM
  • 37Ri Yong-jikM
  • 8Ju Se-JongM
  • 70Kim Woo-jinM
  • 88Moon Min-seoM
  • 18J. IredaleF
Coach: Jeong-kyu Lee

Form going into Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC

Jeonbuk Motors

K League 1

  • L1-2FC Seoul12 September 2026

Gwangju FC

K League 1

  • D1-1FC Anyang13 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Jeonbuk Motors33121294333+1048
12Gwangju FC33312183069-3921

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC

  • 5 May 2026Jeonbuk Motors 4–0 Gwangju FCK League 1
  • 14 March 2026Gwangju FC 0–0 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
  • 6 December 2025Gwangju FC 1–2 Jeonbuk MotorsFA Cup
  • 26 July 2025Gwangju FC 1–2 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
  • 11 May 2025Gwangju FC 0–1 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1

Leading scorers: Jeonbuk Motors and Gwangju FC

Jeonbuk Motors

GoalsAssists

  • Tiago Orobó90
  • Lee Seung-Woo44

Gwangju FC

GoalsAssists

  • J. Iredale80
  • A. Ba Loua34

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Jeonbuk Motors and Gwangju FC drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Jeonbuk Motors at 45% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Tiago Orobo 35' for Jeonbuk Motors, Kim Tae-Hyeon (own goal) 44' for Gwangju FC, Tiago Orobo 78' for Jeonbuk Motors, J. Iredale 90' for Gwangju FC.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.