11 October 2026, 12:45 UTC

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice
Referee: Jaroslaw Przybyl
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Piast Gliwice 2-1 Widzew Łódź.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Piast Gliwice, 28% draw, 28% Widzew Łódź — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Piast Gliwice at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Jakub Labojko
29'
39'
Jusuf Gazibegovic
🔁Jason Lokiloout: Ivan Lima
45'
56'
🔁Sebastian Bergierout: Karol Świderski
56'
🔁mariusz fornalczykout: Darian Males
65'
🔁Fran Alvarezout: Dani Silva
⚽Giannis Papanikolaou (OG)
68'
71'
⚽Karol Świderskiassist: Jusuf Gazibegovic
73'
🔁Jusuf Gazibegovicout: Marcel Krajewski
73'
🔁Giannis Papanikolaouout: Juljan Shehu
🔁Jakub Labojkoout: Oskar·Lesniak
73'
🔁Samuel Ntamack Ndimbaout: Andreas Katsantonis
81'
84'
Mario García Alvear
Jakub Czerwiński
88'
⚽Quentin Boisgardassist: Jakub Lewicki
90+1'
🔁Quentin Boisgardout: Oliwier Maziarz
90+2'

Match stats — Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź

54%Possession46%
18Shots17
5On target3
6Corners13
1.69xG1.78

Goals against chances

Piast Gliwice2 from 1.69 xGabout what the chances were worth
Widzew Łódź1 from 1.78 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Piast Gliwice 4-4-2
  • 75D. GrilG
  • 99E. TwumasiD
  • 5Juande RivasD
  • 4J. CzerwińskiD
  • 36J. LewickiD
  • 98J. LokiloM
  • 27J. ŁabojkoM
  • 17Q. BoisgardM
  • 80Hugo VallejoM
  • 19S. Ntamack NdimbaF
  • 11Leandro SancaF
Substitutes
  • 28F. BorowskiD
  • 7Jorge FélixF
  • 10A. KatsantonisF
  • 31O. LeśniakM
  • 90Ivan LimaM
  • 18O. MaziarzM
  • 12Marcel Mendes-DudzińskiG
  • 77S. MuchaM
  • 15L. PitanD
Coach: D. Myśliwiec
Widzew Łódź 4-1-4-1
  • 1B. DrągowskiG
  • 70J. GazibegovićD
  • 25P. WiśniewskiD
  • 3S. KapuadiD
  • 40Mario GarcíaD
  • 5G. PapanikolaouM
  • 79S. BiukM
  • 10Fran ÁlvarezM
  • 8E. KornvigM
  • 7M. FornalczykM
  • 99S. BergierF
Substitutes
  • 14VisusD
  • 90Ioan VermeșanF
  • 28K. ŚwiderskiF
  • 6J. ShehuM
  • 18L. SelahiM
  • 19D. MalesM
  • 91M. KrajewskiD
  • 20A. KlukowskiM
  • 30V. IlićG
Coach: M. Stolarski

Form going into Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź

Piast Gliwice

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Pogon Szczecin20 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Radomiak Radom14 September 2026
  • W3-0GKS Katowice4 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Motor Lublin29 August 2026
  • D1-1Legia Warszawa22 August 2026

Widzew Łódź

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Wieczysta Kraków18 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Legia Warszawa13 September 2026
  • D0-0Radomiak Radom5 September 2026
  • L2-3Lech Poznan30 August 2026
  • D3-3away to Slask Wroclaw22 August 2026

What these results say

  • Piast Gliwice scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Widzew Łódź did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Widzew Łódź scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Widzew Łódź conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Piast Gliwice146442420+422
13Widzew Łódź142842019+114

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź

  • 23 May 2026Widzew Łódź 2–1 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • 28 November 2025Piast Gliwice 0–2 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
  • 10 July 2025Widzew Łódź 1–0 Piast GliwiceFriendlies Clubs
  • 28 March 2025Piast Gliwice 0–2 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
  • 21 September 2024Widzew Łódź 1–0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Piast Gliwice and Widzew Łódź

Piast Gliwice

GoalsAssists

  • Hugo Vallejo51

Widzew Łódź

GoalsAssists

  • K. Świderski51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Piast Gliwice beat Widzew Łódź 2–1. The model had made a win for Piast Gliwice its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Giannis Papanikolaou (own goal) 68' for Piast Gliwice, Karol Świderski 71' for Widzew Łódź, Quentin Boisgard 90+1' for Piast Gliwice. On expected goals it finished 1.69–1.78.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Piast Gliwice a 10.0% chance to finish in the top four: 12.2% after a win, 8.2% after a draw, 6.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.2%, 2.2 points higher than before the match.

For Widzew Łódź the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 14.5% going in: 9.7% after a win, 13.2% after a draw, 17.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 17.3%, 2.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ekstraklasa season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Piast Gliwice v Widzew Łódź has moved

First published on 27 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 44% / 28% / 28%: the biggest move is Piast Gliwice's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Piast Gliwice win44%▲ +3
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Widzew Łódź win28%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.