Paris FC vs Strasbourg Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: Paris FC 2-1 Strasbourg.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Paris FC, 26% draw, 24% Strasbourg — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (France) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Paris FC at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Paris FC vs Strasbourg
Line-ups
- 1K. TrappG
- 17A. CamaraD
- 5M. MbowD
- 42D. CoppolaD
- 14H. TraoréD
- 33P. Lees-MelouM
- 20M. LopezM
- 10I. KebbalM
- 7P. PagisM
- 15L. KoleoshoM
- 9L. SinayokoF
- 8E. ZabiM
- 28T. De SmetD
- 93J. IkonéF
- 11J. KrassoF
- 4V. MarchettiM
- 16O. NkambadioG
- 23R. MatondoM
- 27M. SimonF
- 25Y. KoréD
- 1F. JörgensenG
- 16G. AntwiD
- 4J. MitchellD
- 6I. DoukouréD
- 36OsoD
- 29S. El MourabetM
- 23Diogo SousaM
- 80Gessime YassineM
- 10G. ReynaM
- 11S. NanasiM
- 30J. OrtegaF
- 12M. PiekutowskiG
- 28Tyrese NoubissieM
- 24L. HøgsbergD
- 40C. HarderF
- 35Yaya DiemeF
- 21P. DiopM
- 31Abdoul Karim CoulibalyD
- 14Dário EssugoM
- 7S. Amo-AmeyawF
Form going into Paris FC vs Strasbourg
Paris FC
Ligue 1
- D0-0Lyon12 September 2026
Strasbourg
Ligue 1
- D1-1Monaco12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 14 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Paris FC vs Strasbourg
- 15 March 2026Strasbourg 0–0 Paris FCLigue 1
- 21 September 2025Paris FC 2–3 StrasbourgLigue 1
- 30 January 2015Strasbourg 2–1 Paris FCLigue 3
- 22 August 2014Paris FC 1–1 StrasbourgLigue 3
- 1 March 2014Strasbourg 0–2 Paris FCLigue 3
Leading scorers: Paris FC and Strasbourg
Paris FC
GoalsAssists
- L. Sinayoko64
Strasbourg
No player in Ligue 1's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Paris FC beat Strasbourg 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Paris FC at 50%. The goals: Ilan Kebbal 18' for Paris FC, Pablo Pagis 57' for Paris FC, Moustapha Mbow (own goal) 88' for Strasbourg.
How the call on Paris FC v Strasbourg has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 52% / 26% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 50% / 26% / 24%: the biggest move is Paris FC's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Paris FC win50%▼ −2
- Draw26%=
- Strasbourg win24%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.