GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: GKS Katowice 3-2 Cracovia Krakow.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% GKS Katowice, 28% draw, 31% Cracovia Krakow — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts GKS Katowice at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow
Line-ups
- 87G. KobylakG
- 55Pau RestaD
- 6L. KlemenzD
- 30A. CzerwińskiD
- 23M. WasielewskiM
- 19K. ŁukasiakM
- 77M. KowalczykM
- 31S. BartlewiczM
- 7M. WdowiakF
- 17I. ShkurinF
- 27B. NowakF
- 8Borja GalánM
- 4A. JędrychD
- 97E. JirkaM
- 1M. KikolskiG
- 21Jakub KokosinskiF
- 15E. MarkovićM
- 22S. MilewskiM
- 14M. OlsenD
- 10M. WędrychowskiM
- 13S. MadejskiG
- 79D. PiłaD
- 4G. HenrikssonD
- 61B. TraoréD
- 39M. PerkovićD
- 43M. KlichM
- 6Amir Al AmmariM
- 14A. HasićM
- 20K. KnapM
- 17M. MinchevM
- 90M. BerteF
- 91A. BobekG
- 18Kahveh ZahiroleslamF
- 92Mateusz SkoczylasM
- 11L. NordåsF
- 47S. LtaiefF
- 70D. KameriM
- 25O. KakabadzeD
- 15K. GlikD
- 29W. DejM
Form going into GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow
GKS Katowice
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Zaglebie Lubin12 September 2026
- L0-3away to Piast Gliwice4 September 2026
- W3-2away to Gornik Zabrze30 August 2026
- W5-0Wisla Plock23 August 2026
- L0-1away to Motor Lublin16 August 2026
Cracovia Krakow
Ekstraklasa
- L1-3away to Wisla Plock13 September 2026
What these results say
- GKS Katowice conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for GKS Katowice had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 17 | +5 | 18 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow
- 21 March 2026Cracovia Krakow 1–0 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
- 19 September 2025GKS Katowice 0–3 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
- 11 May 2025GKS Katowice 2–1 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
- 9 November 2024Cracovia Krakow 3–4 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: GKS Katowice and Cracovia Krakow
GKS Katowice
GoalsAssists
- I. Shkurin81
- B. Nowak48
Cracovia Krakow
GoalsAssists
- A. Hasić52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
GKS Katowice beat Cracovia Krakow 3–2. The model had made a win for GKS Katowice its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Martin Minchev 46' for Cracovia Krakow, Bartosz Nowak (penalty) 54' for GKS Katowice, Mateusz Wdowiak 62' for GKS Katowice, Lasse Selvåg Nordås 72' for Cracovia Krakow, Ilia Shkurin 90' for GKS Katowice.
How the call on GKS Katowice v Cracovia Krakow has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 35% / 29% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 41% / 28% / 31%: the biggest move is GKS Katowice's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- GKS Katowice win41%▲ +6
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Cracovia Krakow win31%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.