29 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE NB I prediction & result

Bozsik Arena, Budapest
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Budapest Honved 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Budapest Honved, 29% draw, 17% Zalaegerszegi TE — fair odds of 1.85, 3.45 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Budapest Honved at 54% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Budapest Honved98%Draw2%Zalaegerszegi TE0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Ádám Szamosiassist: Csontos Dominik Zoltan
18'
31'
Tiago Penalba
🔁Ákos Zuigeberout: Patrik Pinte
45'
45'
🔁Guilherme Luiz Teixeiraout: Moises Richards
🔁Tamás Somogyiout: Reda Eddarraj
68'
75'
🔁Bence Babosout: Arthur Henrique Marques Machado
🔁Ádám Szamosiout: Pablo García Ruiz
78'
🔁Kevin Kállaiout: Branko Pauljević
78'
🔁Deian Boldorout: Oleksandr Safronov
86'
87'
🔁Maxsuell Alegriaout: Q. Tchicamboud
87'
🔁Tiago Penalbaout: Diogo Antônio Rodrigues da Silva
87'
🔁András Mátyás Csonkaout: Aiden Harangi

Match stats — Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE

50%Possession50%
16Shots10
5On target0
5Corners6

Line-ups

Budapest Honved 5-4-1
  • 31O. HadzikicG
  • 72K. KallaiD
  • 44A. BakiD
  • 52D. BoldorD
  • 5D. CsontosD
  • 11S. HangyaD
  • 7A. ZuigeberM
  • 30T. SomogyiM
  • 8A. SomogyiM
  • 40A. SzamosiM
  • 19A. AlicF
Substitutes
  • 83T. TujvelG
  • 1G. DuzsG
  • 49B. PauljevicD
  • 33O. SafronovD
  • 4A. SzaboD
  • 3P. GarciaD
  • 99I. PekarD
  • 23Z. MedgyesF
  • 71K. KantorF
Coach: Maurizio Jacobacci
Zalaegerszegi TE 4-4-2
  • 1B. Gundel-TakacsG
  • 8A. CsonkaD
  • 13T. PenalbaD
  • 4J. PerazaD
  • 18J. CalderonD
  • 17Guilherme TeixeiraM
  • 30F. AmatoM
  • 7D. KrevsunM
  • 10B. Kiss
  • 74B. BabosF
  • 23Maxsuell AlegriaF
Substitutes
  • 31Z. MauricioG
  • 12D. LopezD
  • 3F. Vera
  • 33Diogo AntonioD
  • 99Z. GaraiD
  • 2A. HarangiD
  • 77Arthur HenriqueF
  • 20M. RichardsM
  • 14J. MadakiM
Coach: Filipe Celikkaya

Form going into Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE

Budapest Honved

  • L1-2Vasas14 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Paks9 August 2026

Zalaegerszegi TE

  • L0-3away to Gyori ETO FC23 August 2026
  • L0-1Ferencvarosi TC17 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Budapest Honved71331114-36
12Zalaegerszegi TE8206717-106

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE

  • 21 April 2026Budapest Honved 1–1 Zalaegerszegi TEMagyar Kupa
  • 29 June 2024Zalaegerszegi TE 1–2 Budapest HonvedFriendlies Clubs
  • 11 March 2023Budapest Honved 1–0 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
  • 22 October 2022Zalaegerszegi TE 0–2 Budapest HonvedNB I
  • 29 July 2022Budapest Honved 0–1 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
  • 8 April 2022Zalaegerszegi TE 3–1 Budapest HonvedNB I
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.