20 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Panetolikos vs PAOK Super League 1 prediction & result

Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Panetolikos 1-3 PAOK.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Panetolikos, 29% draw, 37% PAOK — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts PAOK at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Panetolikos0%Draw4%PAOK96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Gustav Granath
30'
33'
⚽Taha Aliassist: Kristijan Jakić
39'
⚽Cherif Ndiayeassist: Abdul Rahman Baba
Konstantinos Thymianis
40'
🔁Apostolos Apostolopoulosout: Christian Manrique
45'
🔁Lazar Kojićout: Diego Esteban
45'
48'
🔁Taha Aliout: Shola Shoretire
⚽Diego Esteban
51'
🔁Moussa Djenepoout: Salifou Soumah
64'
🔁Kwadwo Opokuout: Kosta Aleksic
64'
Marvelous Nakamba
65'
Yannis Anastasiou
70'
73'
🔁Jiří Pavlenkaout: Antonis Tsiftsis
73'
🔁Aritz Elustondoout: Dimitris Bataoulas
73'
🔁Dimitrios Pelkasout: Ognjen ugresic
Diego Esteban
81'
🔁Marvelous Nakambaout: Mateo Mejia
86'
86'
🔁Christos Zafeirisout: Baptiste Santamaria
89'
Kristijan Jakić
90+5'
Abdul Rahman Baba
90+8'
⚽Shola Shoretireassist: Ognjen ugresic

Match stats — Panetolikos vs PAOK

56%Possession44%
2Shots16
1On target5
7Corners5

Line-ups

Panetolikos 4-2-3-1
  • 99Y. KucherenkoG
  • 35C. MavriasD
  • 2G. GranathD
  • 8K. ThymianisD
  • 65A. ApostolopoulosD
  • 6M. NakambaM
  • 28L. KojićM
  • 90K. OpokuM
  • 44N. ErakovićM
  • 12M. DjenepoM
  • 20Youssouph BadjiF
Substitutes
  • 23V. XenopoulosG
  • 49N. StajićD
  • 11S. SoumahF
  • 5A. ProdromitisD
  • 4E. OlssonD
  • 14K. AleksićF
  • 19A. BregouM
  • 22Diego EstebanM
  • 45David GaliatsosD
Coach: Y. Anastasiou
PAOK 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. PavlenkaG
  • 3J. KennyD
  • 6ElustondoD
  • 5G. MichailidisD
  • 21A. BabaD
  • 20C. ZafeirisM
  • 18K. JakićM
  • 14A. ŽivkovićM
  • 10D. PelkasM
  • 22T. AliM
  • 27C. NdiayeF
Substitutes
  • 2M. CamaraM
  • 97D. BataoulasD
  • 52D. ChatsidisF
  • 78G. KosidisD
  • 41D. MonastirlisG
  • 56A. MythouF
  • 7B. SantamaríaM
  • 47S. ShoretireF
  • 32G. TaylorD
Coach: A. Lisci

Form going into Panetolikos vs PAOK

Panetolikos

Super League 1

  • L0-3away to Panathinaikos13 September 2026

PAOK

Super League 1

  • W2-0Aris Thessalonikis13 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Panetolikos8305816-89
5PAOK85031611+515

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Panetolikos vs PAOK

  • 10 January 2026Panetolikos 0–3 PAOKSuper League 1
  • 20 September 2025PAOK 0–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
  • 15 December 2024Panetolikos 0–1 PAOKSuper League 1
  • 25 August 2024PAOK 2–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
  • 25 February 2024Panetolikos 1–3 PAOKSuper League 1

Leading scorers: Panetolikos and PAOK

Panetolikos

No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

PAOK

GoalsAssists

  • D. Pelkas30
  • C. Ndiaye30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

PAOK won 3–1 at Panetolikos. The model had made a win for PAOK its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Taha Ali 33' for PAOK, Cherif Ndiaye 39' for PAOK, Diego Esteban 51' for Panetolikos, Shola Shoretire 90+8' for PAOK.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.