Liga I · Regular Season - 3 · 31 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

Oțelul vs Dinamo Bucuresti

Stadionul Otelul, Galati

The model makes it 57% Oțelul, 18% draw, 25% Dinamo Bucuresti — fair odds of 1.75, 5.56 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (6%).

Expected goals: Oțelul 2.88, Dinamo Bucuresti 1.96.

Both teams to score: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%, under 2.5: 14%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

81%
Both teams to score
86%
Over 2.5 goals
14%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-1 6%2-2 6%3-1 6%

Head-to-head: Oțelul vs Dinamo Bucuresti

  • 29 November 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 1–0 OțelulLiga I
  • 27 July 2025Oțelul 2–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 4 February 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 1–0 OțelulLiga I
  • 20 September 2024Oțelul 1–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 8 April 2024Oțelul 1–0 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 18 February 2024Dinamo Bucuresti 3–1 OțelulLiga I
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Oțelul the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.88 expected goals for Oțelul against 1.96 for Dinamo Bucuresti. Oțelul's attack/defence rating is 1.08/1.67 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.84/1.41 for Dinamo Bucuresti.