Oțelul vs Dinamo Bucuresti Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Oțelul 1-1 Dinamo Bucuresti.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Oțelul, 18% draw, 27% Dinamo Bucuresti — fair odds of 1.82, 5.56 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Oțelul at 55% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Oțelul vs Dinamo Bucuresti
Line-ups
- 1Cosmin Dur-BozoancăG
- 5Habib SyllaD
- 2Milen ZhelevD
- 6Paul IacobD
- 88KazuD
- 17Andrei CiobanuM
- 8João LameiraM
- 24Denis BordunM
- 27Pedro NunoM
- 10AndrézinhoM
- 9Patrick FernandesF
- 77Alexandru BălănicăF
- 7João PaulinoF
- 13Mario ContraG
- 22Gabriel UrsuG
- 16Dan NeicuD
- 20Robert OlteanuM
- 18Dragoș AfteneM
- 30Matei FrunzăM
- 39Teodor LunguM
- 36Alaa BellaarouchG
- 20David IrimiaD
- 44Martín PascualD
- 15Nikita StoinovD
- 31Raul OpruțD
- 77Danny ArmstrongM
- 29Alberto SoroM
- 90Andrei MărgineanM
- 10Cătălin CîrjanM
- 7Alexandru MusiF
- 99Alexandru PopF
- 18Oliver HintsaF
- 26Adrian MaziluF
- 22Darío BenavidesD
- 23Ianis TarbăF
- 73Alexandru RoșcaG
- 66Ștefan OprișM
- 19Răzvan RaduD
- 30Matteo DuțuD
- 21Cristian MihaiM
Form going into Oțelul vs Dinamo Bucuresti
Oțelul
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Uta Arad24 July 2026
- W2-1CFR 1907 Cluj18 July 2026
Dinamo Bucuresti
All competitions we cover
- W5-1Universitatea Craiova25 July 2026
- L0-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Oțelul | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 11 |
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Oțelul vs Dinamo Bucuresti
- 29 November 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 1–0 OțelulLiga I
- 27 July 2025Oțelul 2–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 4 February 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 1–0 OțelulLiga I
- 20 September 2024Oțelul 1–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 8 April 2024Oțelul 1–0 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 18 February 2024Dinamo Bucuresti 3–1 OțelulLiga I
Leading scorers: Oțelul and Dinamo Bucuresti
Oțelul
GoalsAssists
- Patrick40
Dinamo Bucuresti
GoalsAssists
- D. Armstrong510
- Martín Pascual50
- Alberto Soro42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Oțelul and Dinamo Bucuresti drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Oțelul at 55% and given a draw 18%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: A. Soro 42' for Dinamo Bucuresti, Patrick 66' for Oțelul.