2 August 2026, 15:30 UTC

Corvinul Hunedoara vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, Arad
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Corvinul Hunedoara 1-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Corvinul Hunedoara, 32% draw, 21% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — fair odds of 2.13, 3.13 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Corvinul Hunedoara at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Corvinul Hunedoara3%Draw95%Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

30'
Setigui Karamoko
⚽M. Bratuassist: A. Fabry
32'
34'
⚽C. Mateiassist: Gustavo Cascardo
•Mo Abualnadi
45+7'
45+1'
Cosmin Matei
50'
Hunor Batzula
60'
🔁D. Andreiout: V. Daguin
61'
🔁F. Bamgboyeout: D. Oberlin
61'
🔁N. Herasout: M. Mawa
🔁M. Bratuout: D. N. Pirvulescu
67'
🔁A. Neacsaout: P. Albino
67'
🔁R. Espinosaout: A. Gillard
67'
80'
🔁R. Silaghiout: J. de Kamps
85'
🔁C. Mateiout: B. Cmiljanic
🔁D. Hrezdacout: G. Uche Goodlad
87'
🔁S. Ribeiroout: M. Hayatu
87'

Match stats — Corvinul Hunedoara vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

45%Possession55%
16Shots13
4On target3
3Corners2

Line-ups

Corvinul Hunedoara 4-4-1-1
  • 21C. SanduG
  • 13F. IacobD
  • 18F. IlieD
  • 5M. AbualnadiD
  • 10A. Neacsa
  • 41M. BratuM
  • 97D. HrezdacM
  • 20S. Ribeiro
  • 99E. YeboahM
  • 22A. FabryF
  • 9R. EspinosaF
Substitutes
  • 12A. FranculescuG
  • 1F. Sorin BlagaG
  • 19D. N. Pirvulescu
  • 70R. DeaconuM
  • 30A. Manolache
  • 15M. IvancevicD
  • 7P. AlbinoD
  • 32A. GillardF
  • 47G. Uche GoodladM
Coach: Florin Maxim
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 4-3-3
  • 91D. LazarG
  • 2Gustavo CascardoD
  • 82D. VirtejD
  • 4S. KaramokoD
  • 3F. ViannaD
  • 10C. MateiM
  • 7R. SilaghiM
  • 17D. AndreiM
  • 70F. BamgboyeF
  • 20N. HerasF
  • 23H. Batzula
Substitutes
  • 33S. GyengeG
  • 67J. de KampsM
  • 11D. OberlinF
  • 19G. Ghimfus
  • 28V. DaguinM
  • 21A. DobrosavleviciD
  • 9B. CmiljanicF
  • 5B. VatajeluD
  • 14M. MawaF
Coach: Ovidiu Burca

Form going into Corvinul Hunedoara vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Corvinul Hunedoara

  • L0-2away to Farul Constanta25 July 2026
  • W3-0Csikszereda20 July 2026

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

  • W1-0Universitatea Cluj26 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Rapid20 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Corvinul Hunedoara924387+110
6Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe934279-213

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Corvinul Hunedoara vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

  • 2 August 2026Corvinul Hunedoara 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
  • 2 May 2026Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2–1 Corvinul HunedoaraLiga II
  • 4 April 2026Corvinul Hunedoara 0–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga II
  • 18 August 2025Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–2 Corvinul HunedoaraLiga II
  • 31 October 2023Corvinul Hunedoara 1–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheCupa României
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.