Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Los Angeles FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Vancouver Whitecaps, 24% draw, 30% Los Angeles FC — fair odds of 2.17, 4.17 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 46% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Yohei TakaokaG
- 18Édier OcampoD
- 33Tristan BlackmonD
- 2Mathías LabordaD
- 28Tate JohnsonD
- 8Oliver LarrazM
- 20Andrés CubasM
- 59Jeevan BadwalM
- 13Thomas MüllerM
- 25Ryan GauldM
- 24Brian WhiteF
- 11Emmanuel SabbiF
- 7Cheick Tidiane SabalyF
- 6Ralph PrisoM
- 32Isaac BoehmerG
- 3Sam AdekugbeD
- 41Nikola DjordjevicD
- 43Trevor WrightD
- 26Jean-Claude NgandoM
- 19Rayan ElloumiF
- 1Hugo LlorisG
- 24Ryan HollingsheadD
- 5Ryan PorteousD
- 33Aaron LongD
- 23Yevhen CheberkoD
- 66Mathieu ChoinièreM
- 4Eddie SeguraM
- 11Timothy TillmanM
- 18Jacob ShaffelburgF
- 7Son Heung-minF
- 99Denis BouangaF
- 8Mark DelgadoM
- 30David Martínez MoralesF
- 12Thomas HasalG
- 45Kenny NielsenD
- 91Nkosi TafariD
- 21Ryan RaposoM
- 22Jude TerryM
- 19Tyler BoydF
- 17Jeremy EbobisseF
Form going into Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Minnesota United FC26 July 2026
- L3-4away to FC Cincinnati22 July 2026
Los Angeles FC
All competitions we cover
- W4-0Sporting Kansas City26 July 2026
- W3-1Real Salt Lake23 July 2026
- W3-0away to Los Angeles Galaxy18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 33 | +34 | 58 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 35 | +15 | 47 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC
- 23 November 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 30 June 2025Los Angeles FC 0–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 11 May 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 9 November 2024Los Angeles FC 1–0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 4 November 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
GoalsAssists
- B. White182
Los Angeles FC
GoalsAssists
- D. Bouanga185
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles FC drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Vancouver Whitecaps at 46% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Son Heung-Min 37' for Los Angeles FC, T. Muller (penalty) 76' for Vancouver Whitecaps. On expected goals it finished 2.19–0.26.