Vancouver Whitecaps
vs
Los Angeles FC
The model makes it 46% Vancouver Whitecaps, 24% draw, 30% Los Angeles FC — fair odds of 2.17, 4.17 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Vancouver Whitecaps 1.86, Los Angeles FC 1.47.
Both teams to score: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC
- 23 November 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 30 June 2025Los Angeles FC 0–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 11 May 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 9 November 2024Los Angeles FC 1–0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 4 November 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 28 October 2024Los Angeles FC 2–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Vancouver Whitecaps the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.86 expected goals for Vancouver Whitecaps against 1.47 for Los Angeles FC. Vancouver Whitecaps's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.21 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.87/1.54 for Los Angeles FC.