Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18 · 1 August 2026, 23:30 UTC

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew

Nu Stadium, Fort Lauderdale

The model makes it 70% Inter Miami, 16% draw, 14% Columbus Crew — fair odds of 1.43, 6.25 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).

Expected goals: Inter Miami 2.79, Columbus Crew 1.23.

Both teams to score: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%, under 2.5: 24%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

67%
Both teams to score
76%
Over 2.5 goals
24%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-1 9%3-1 8%2-0 7%

Head-to-head: Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew

  • 31 May 2025Inter Miami 5–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 19 April 2025Columbus Crew 0–1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
  • 2 October 2024Columbus Crew 2–3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
  • 13 August 2024Columbus Crew 3–2 Inter MiamiLeagues Cup
  • 19 June 2024Inter Miami 2–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 4 July 2023Inter Miami 2–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Inter Miami the highest probability at 70%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.79 expected goals for Inter Miami against 1.23 for Columbus Crew. Inter Miami's attack/defence rating is 1.23/1.35 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.2 for Columbus Crew.