Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Atromitos.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% Olympiakos Piraeus, 22% draw, 22% Atromitos — fair odds of 1.79, 4.55 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Greek Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Olympiakos Piraeus at 56%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1S. OrtegaG
- 23RodineiD
- 4Z. SmajlovicD
- 5L. PirolaD
- 70B. OnyemaechiD
- 32S. HezzeM
- 96C. MouzakitisM
- 7K. FortounisM
- 8G. SaM
- 10G. MartinsM
- 9A. El KaabiF
- 31B. PopovicG
- 91D. StournarasG
- 2M. SaliakasD
- 45P. RetsosD
- 71N. TiknizyanD
- 6D. CarmoD
- 14D. GarciaM
- 16L. ScipioniM
- 22ChiquinhoM
- 1L. ChoutetsiotisG
- 12M. MountesD
- 4D. StavropoulosD
- 24G. MitoglouD
- 21J. UronenD
- 19P. Tsantilas
- 5T. TsingarasM
- 8S. MoutoussamyM
- 10S. PnevmonidisM
- 11C. NunezF
- 7S. ZuberF
- 88S. DiengG
- 31V. Athanasiou
- 2L. LyratzisD
- 6A. KaramanisD
- 32H. MagnussonD
- 44D. TsakmakisD
- 16G. PapadopoulosD
- 33K. BatosM
- 23S. TsiloulisM
Form going into Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos
Olympiakos Piraeus
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to NEC Nijmegen11 August 2026
- D0-0NEC Nijmegen4 August 2026
Atromitos
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 23 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos
- 10 January 2026Atromitos 0–2 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
- 22 November 2025Olympiakos Piraeus 3–0 AtromitosSuper League 1
- 19 January 2025Atromitos 1–2 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
- 29 September 2024Olympiakos Piraeus 2–0 AtromitosSuper League 1
- 21 December 2023Atromitos 0–0 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Olympiakos Piraeus and Atromitos
Olympiakos Piraeus
GoalsAssists
- Jota Silva51
Atromitos
No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Olympiakos Piraeus beat Atromitos 1–0. The model had made a win for Olympiakos Piraeus its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: D. Carmo 82' for Olympiakos Piraeus. Sent off: Rodinei (Olympiakos Piraeus) 90+1'. On expected goals it finished 3.17–0.30.