AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: AEK Athens FC 4-0 Iraklis 1908.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% AEK Athens FC, 24% draw, 15% Iraklis 1908 — fair odds of 1.64, 4.17 and 6.67.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
AEK Athens FC at 61%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1T. Strakosha
- 12L. Rota
- 2H. Moukoudi
- 44F. Relvas
- 3S. Pilios
- 10O. Zubkov
- 27M. Vitalis
- 18R. Marin
- 8M. Gacinovic
- 9L. Jovic
- 19B. Varga
- 91A. Brignoli
- 41M. Balamotis
- 21D. Vida
- 15M. Georgiev
- 5C. Alexiou
- 20P. Mantalos
- 16K. Arriaga
- 6K. Kairinen
- 14L. Majer
- 33G. Athanasiadis
- 18R. Nizet
- 2P. Vouros
- 4S. Chakla
- 21Pina
- 30C. Soria
- 27M. Krainz
- 22K. Kaiboue
- 90V. Sourlis
- 9K. Kushta
- 11I. Lopez
- 16P. Tsintotas
- 1G. Karakasidis
- 31Nanu
- 69Y. Roche
- 23D. Munoz
- 8N. Radoja
- 6C. Rodriguez
- 3Vitor Meer
- 17N. Anastasiadis
Form going into AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908
AEK Athens FC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Levski Sofia18 August 2026
Iraklis 1908
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 6 | +17 | 20 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: AEK Athens FC and Iraklis 1908
AEK Athens FC
GoalsAssists
- B. Varga60
- L. Jović50
- Zini30
Iraklis 1908
GoalsAssists
- Pedro Marques31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
AEK Athens FC beat Iraklis 1908 4–0. The model had made a win for AEK Athens FC its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: B. Varga 11' for AEK Athens FC, L. Jovic 19' for AEK Athens FC, L. Jovic 49' for AEK Athens FC, Zini 75' for AEK Athens FC. On expected goals it finished 2.06–0.38.