22 July 2026, 23:30 UTC

New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Major League Soccer prediction & result

Gillette Stadium, Boston
Full time0 – 0

Final score: New England Revolution 0-0 Toronto FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% New England Revolution, 35% draw, 26% Toronto FC — fair odds of 2.56, 2.86 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts New England Revolution at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

46'
🔁E. Aristizabalout: J. Sargent
M. Polster
56'
🔁G. Yowout: M. Zambrano
60'
64'
🔁D. Kerrout: M. Henry
64'
🔁J. Vilsaintout: T. Corbeanu
71'
🔁R. Chukwuout: Z. Monlouis
🔁M. Polsterout: L. Langoni
73'
🔁D. Turgemanout: W. Harris
73'
🔁A. Yusufout: J. Yueill
86'
🔁E. Kohlerout: B. Ceballos
86'
B. Raines
90+3'

Match stats — New England Revolution vs Toronto FC

64%Possession36%
11Shots13
3On target1
7Corners9
0.93xG1.23

Goals against chances

New England Revolution0 from 0.93 xGless than the chances were worth
Toronto FC0 from 1.23 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

New England Revolution 4-2-3-1
  • 30Matt TurnerG
  • 8Matt PolsterD
  • 22Ethan KohlerD
  • 2Mamadou FofanaD
  • 23William SandsD
  • 21Brooklyn RainesM
  • 80Alhassan YusufM
  • 25Peyton MillerM
  • 10Carles GilM
  • 7Griffin YowM
  • 11Dor TurgemanF
Substitutes
  • 17Marcos ZambranoF
  • 41Luca LangoniF
  • 27Wilson HarrisF
  • 3Brayan CeballosD
  • 14Jackson YueillM
  • 33Donovan ParisianG
  • 15Cody BakerD
  • 4Tanner BeasonD
  • 77Diego FagúndezM
Coach: Marko Mitrovic
Toronto FC 3-4-2-1
  • 1Luka GavranG
  • 38Jackson GilmanD
  • 25Walker ZimmermanD
  • 96Richard ChukwuD
  • 29Deandre KerrM
  • 14Alonso CoelloM
  • 21Jonathan OsorioM
  • 22Richie LaryeaM
  • 99Jules-Anthony VilsaintF
  • 20Dániel SallóiF
  • 17Emilio AristizábalF
Substitutes
  • 9Josh SargentF
  • 7Theo CorbeanuF
  • 78Malik HenryM
  • 12Zane MonlouisD
  • 23William YarbroughG
  • 77Adisa De RosarioG
  • 19Kobe FranklinD
  • 44Raheem EdwardsD
  • 11Derrick EtienneF
Coach: Robin Fraser

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2New England Revolution32184105444+1058
11Toronto FC32912115060-1039

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: New England Revolution vs Toronto FC

  • 13 September 2025New England Revolution 1–1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
  • 3 May 2025Toronto FC 0–2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
  • 20 April 2024Toronto FC 1–0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
  • 3 March 2024New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
  • 24 June 2023New England Revolution 2–1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer

The result against the call

New England Revolution and Toronto FC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for New England Revolution at 39% and given a draw 35%. On expected goals it finished 0.93–1.23.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.