FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: FC Cincinnati 4-3 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% FC Cincinnati, 21% draw, 28% Vancouver Whitecaps — fair odds of 1.96, 4.76 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Cincinnati at 51% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 18Roman CelentanoG
- 12Miles RobinsonD
- 21Matt MiazgaD
- 11Samuel GidiD
- 20Pavel BuchaM
- 22Gerardo ValenzuelaM
- 5Obinna NwobodoM
- 66Ender EcheniqueM
- 17Kenji Mboma DemF
- 10EvanderF
- 9Kévin DenkeyF
- 24Kyle SmithD
- 29Bryan RamirezD
- 16Tom BarlowF
- 15Teenage HadebeD
- 99Ayoub JabbariF
- 13Evan LouroG
- 2Alvas PowellD
- 4Nick HagglundD
- 27Tah AnungaM
- 1Yohei TakaokaG
- 18Édier OcampoD
- 33Tristan BlackmonD
- 2Mathías LabordaD
- 28Tate JohnsonD
- 8Oliver LarrazM
- 20Andrés CubasM
- 59Jeevan BadwalM
- 25Ryan GauldM
- 14Bruno QuiñonezM
- 24Brian WhiteF
- 7Cheick Tidiane SabalyF
- 26Jean-Claude NgandoM
- 41Nikola DjordjevicD
- 4Ranko VeselinovićD
- 19Rayan ElloumiF
- 32Isaac BoehmerG
- 3Sam AdekugbeD
- 29Mihail GherasimencovD
- 13Thomas MüllerF
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 43 |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 33 | +34 | 58 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps
- 11 June 2023Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- 14 July 2022FC Cincinnati 2–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 4 August 2019FC Cincinnati 1–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: FC Cincinnati and Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati
GoalsAssists
- K. Denkey173
Vancouver Whitecaps
GoalsAssists
- B. White182
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Cincinnati beat Vancouver Whitecaps 4–3. The model had made a win for FC Cincinnati its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: P. Bucha 9' for FC Cincinnati, J. Badwal 12' for Vancouver Whitecaps, R. Gauld 25' for Vancouver Whitecaps, K. Denkey 28' for FC Cincinnati, Evander 36' for FC Cincinnati, P. Bucha 56' for FC Cincinnati, R. Gauld 58' for Vancouver Whitecaps. On expected goals it finished 1.56–1.82.