28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Nancy vs Dunkerque Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Nancy 2-0 Dunkerque.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Nancy, 25% draw, 30% Dunkerque — fair odds of 2.22, 4.00 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Nancy at 45% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Nancy99%Draw1%Dunkerque0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

30'
Maxence Prévot
30'
🔁A. Dahoout: K. Ayari
33'
🔁M. Decherfout: Moha
⚽N. Fernandezassist: I. Housni
45'
46'
🔁J. Morelout: T. Massock
⚽B. Bokanguassist: Z. Fdaouch
62'
73'
🔁S. Keitaout: E. Prutsev
73'
🔁T. Robinetout: E. Mayilla
74'
Adrien Lebeau
🔁N. Kandilout: M. Fofana
76'
🔁B. Bokanguout: A. Dabasse
76'
🔁N. Fernandezout: L. Ndenbe
84'
🔁Z. Fdaouchout: N. Obougou
84'
88'
Opa Sangante
🔁I. Housniout: E. H. Raheriniaina
90+2'

Match stats — Nancy vs Dunkerque

59%Possession41%
18Shots8
4On target2
1Corners3

Line-ups

Nancy 4-4-2
  • 1E. BasilioG
  • 4N. FernandezD
  • 77Y. NahounouD
  • 21E. MendyD
  • 44E. TacafredD
  • 70N. KandilM
  • 6K. KebeM
  • 8W. BouabdelliM
  • 7Z. FdaouchM
  • 9I. HousniF
  • 20B. BokanguF
Substitutes
  • 30G. LembetG
  • 22L. NdenbeD
  • 14N. Saint-RufD
  • 2H. TavaresD
  • 17M. FofanaM
  • 45C. El HansarM
  • 10A. DabasseF
  • 29N. ObougouF
  • 12E. H. Raheriniaina
Coach: Oswald Tanchot
Dunkerque 4-2-3-1
  • 16M. PrevotG
  • 27A. LinguetD
  • 26O. SanganteD
  • 4B. LagaeD
  • 24L. VallierD
  • 29M. DecherfM
  • 6J. MorelM
  • 93A. DahoM
  • 10A. LebeauM
  • 19S. KeitaM
  • 9T. RobinetF
Substitutes
  • 73MohaG
  • 2O. ToureD
  • 22V. MayelaD
  • 11E. PrutsevM
  • 18T. MassockM
  • 25F. AtoenM
  • 7K. AyariF
  • 94E. MayillaF
  • 17P. M. DiengM
Coach: Albert Sanchez

Form going into Nancy vs Dunkerque

Nancy

  • W1-0away to PAU21 August 2026

Dunkerque

  • L0-1Montpellier21 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Nancy731387+110
12Dunkerque72231012-28

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Nancy vs Dunkerque

  • 9 May 2026Nancy 3–2 DunkerqueLigue 2
  • 22 August 2025Dunkerque 1–3 NancyLigue 2
  • 3 February 2023Dunkerque 2–3 NancyLigue 3
  • 26 August 2022Nancy 1–2 DunkerqueLigue 3
  • 19 February 2022Nancy 2–0 DunkerqueLigue 2
  • 11 September 2021Dunkerque 0–0 NancyLigue 2

Leading scorers: Nancy and Dunkerque

Nancy

  • P. Meïssa Ba2 goals1 assist

Dunkerque

  • E. Prutsev2 goals1 assist
  • S. Keita2 goals1 assist

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.