28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Laval vs Grenoble Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Laval 0-3 Grenoble.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Laval, 27% draw, 43% Grenoble — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Grenoble at 43% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Laval0%Draw1%Grenoble99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro
19'
⚽S. Diba
40'
⚽B. Mouazan
45+4'
Clément Vidal
🔁M. Sidibeout: E. Clavreul
46'
🔁T. Dagoout: A. Kante
53'
56'
Aurelien Pelon
Sacha Mellier
64'
🔁M. Houdayerout: C. Gourichy
64'
🔁S. Mellierout: Y. Court
64'
70'
🔁J. Akpa Akproout: K. Fofana
70'
🔁L. Cerriout: U. Bonnet
71'
⚽K. Fofanaassist: Y. Magnin
72'
🔁S. Dibaout: J. Mouton
79'
Yohann Magnin
90'
🔁N. Zahuiout: S. Niakate
90'
🔁L. Bernadouout: M. Bangre

Match stats — Laval vs Grenoble

68%Possession32%
15Shots7
4On target5
8Corners0

Line-ups

Laval 4-3-1-2
  • 30M. SamassaG
  • 29M. SidibeD
  • 18A. LoD
  • 3W. BiandaD
  • 22J. GaudinD
  • 6S. SannaM
  • 33S. MellierM
  • 14C. MandoukiM
  • 5J. MaggiottiM
  • 11T. Dago
  • 31M. HoudayerF
Substitutes
  • 1M. HautboisG
  • 24S. BaneD
  • 35L. SambD
  • 7C. Gourichy
  • 21A. BeaudouinD
  • 20E. ClavreulM
  • 32Y. CourtM
  • 28A. KanteF
  • 19N. MupembaF
Coach: David Vignes
Grenoble 4-1-4-1
  • 1A. OllieroG
  • 19N. ZahuiD
  • 43A. PelonD
  • 5C. VidalD
  • 27M. XantippeD
  • 6Y. MagninM
  • 92J. Akpa AkproM
  • 30S. DibaM
  • 8L. BernadouM
  • 10B. MouazanM
  • 17L. CerriF
Substitutes
  • 16B. AllainG
  • 26M. MionD
  • 48S. NiakateD
  • 33E. SarikayaD
  • 46J. MoutonD
  • 23D. HoogewerfF
  • 47K. FofanaF
  • 12U. BonnetF
  • 11M. BangreF
Coach: Olivier Frapolli

Form going into Laval vs Grenoble

Laval

  • D1-1away to Metz22 August 2026

Grenoble

  • L0-4away to Saint Etienne22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Laval7124814-65
13Grenoble7223811-38

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Laval vs Grenoble

  • 20 March 2026Laval 3–2 GrenobleLigue 2
  • 15 August 2025Grenoble 1–1 LavalLigue 2
  • 4 April 2025Laval 1–2 GrenobleLigue 2
  • 16 August 2024Grenoble 2–1 LavalLigue 2
  • 11 March 2024Grenoble 0–2 LavalLigue 2
  • 2 December 2023Laval 1–1 GrenobleLigue 2

Leading scorers: Laval and Grenoble

Laval

  • E. Clavreul2 goals3 assists

Grenoble

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.