Legia Warszawa
vs
Slask Wroclaw
Ekstraklasa prediction
The model makes it 65% Legia Warszawa, 20% draw, 15% Slask Wroclaw — fair odds of 1.54, 5.00 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (10%).
Expected goals: Legia Warszawa 2.22, Slask Wroclaw 0.98.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Legia Warszawa
- D1-1away to Korona Kielce8 August 2026
- W3-1Zaglebie Lubin2 August 2026
- W1-0away to Pogon Szczecin24 July 2026
Slask Wroclaw
- D0-0Cracovia Krakow9 August 2026
- W2-1Raków Częstochowa2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Gornik Zabrze25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | Slask Wroclaw | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw
- 2 March 2025Legia Warszawa 3–1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 25 August 2024Slask Wroclaw 1–1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
- 21 April 2024Legia Warszawa 0–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 21 October 2023Slask Wroclaw 4–0 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
- 27 May 2023Legia Warszawa 3–1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 13 November 2022Slask Wroclaw 0–0 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Leading scorers
Legia Warszawa
- Ł. Zjawiński2 goals
Slask Wroclaw
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Legia Warszawa carry a model rating of 6.79 against 6.51 for Slask Wroclaw. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Legia Warszawa W-W-D; Slask Wroclaw L-W-D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.22 goals for Legia Warszawa and 0.98 for Slask Wroclaw. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Legia Warszawa rate 0.80 in attack and 0.93 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Slask Wroclaw rate 0.75 and 1.47.
That points to 62% for over two and a half goals and 56% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 334 correct results out of 699 settled predictions (48%), with 66 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Legia Warszawa the highest probability at 65%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.22 expected goals for Legia Warszawa against 0.98 for Slask Wroclaw. Legia Warszawa's attack/defence rating is 0.8/0.93 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.75/1.47 for Slask Wroclaw.