2 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

KFUM Oslo vs Kristiansund BK Eliteserien prediction & result

KFUM Arena, Oslo
Full time2 – 1

Final score: KFUM Oslo 2-1 Kristiansund BK.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% KFUM Oslo, 25% draw, 24% Kristiansund BK — fair odds of 1.96, 4.00 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts KFUM Oslo at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

KFUM Oslo99%Draw1%Kristiansund BK0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Eikremassist: R. Rasch
16'
⚽B. Njieassist: H. Hoseth
25'
🔁M. Eikremout: M. Vinjor
46'
🔁F. Berglieout: M. Njie
46'
46'
🔁S. Skeideout: S. Svendsen
46'
🔁F. Flexout: T. Svendsen
46'
🔁M. Williamsenout: A. Ronning
🔁R. Raschout: B. Kristensen
69'
🔁H. Hosethout: S. Sjokvist
69'
🔁R. E. Vingeout: M. Grodem
74'
74'
🔁J. Isaksenout: A. Borset
83'
Anders Børset
90'
⚽T. Svendsenassist: S. Kilen

Match stats — KFUM Oslo vs Kristiansund BK

42%Possession58%
13Shots17
6On target5
3Corners3
1.09xG1.4

Goals against chances

KFUM Oslo2 from 1.09 xGmore than the chances were worth
Kristiansund BK1 from 1.40 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

KFUM Oslo 3-4-3
  • 25H. JenssenG
  • 13B. SkaretD
  • 5F. BerglieD
  • 2D. SchneiderD
  • 14H. HosethM
  • 27T. SorasM
  • 7R. RaschM
  • 16J. HjorthM
  • 18R. E. VingeF
  • 23M. EikremF
  • 10B. NjieF
Substitutes
  • 31D. W. Mink
  • 28M. GrodemF
  • 9M. VinjorM
  • 22B. KristensenF
  • 19E. SaunesD
  • 21S. SjokvistD
  • 42D. HicksonF
  • 4M. NjieD
  • 29I. SkovsgaardF
Coach: Thomas Holm
Kristiansund BK 4-3-3
  • 1M. LansingG
  • 13A. MunksgaardD
  • 17M. WilliamsenD
  • 5D. UlvestadD
  • 3F. FlexD
  • 6J. IsaksenM
  • 14S. SkeideM
  • 20W. IgorM
  • 22H. HaugenF
  • 19L. AlvheimF
  • 9S. KilenF
Substitutes
  • 12A. SaetherG
  • 7S. SvendsenM
  • 23T. SvendsenM
  • 2A. BorsetD
  • 27A. RonningF
  • 31H. OpsahlM
  • 38A. N. BrattoyM
Coach: Amund Skiri

Form going into KFUM Oslo vs Kristiansund BK

KFUM Oslo

  • L2-4Molde26 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Lillestrom18 July 2026

Kristiansund BK

  • L1-2Start25 July 2026
  • D0-0Sarpsborg 08 FF18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12KFUM Oslo2064102234-1222
14Kristiansund BK2054112037-1719

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: KFUM Oslo vs Kristiansund BK

  • 2 August 2026KFUM Oslo 2–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
  • 19 October 2025KFUM Oslo 1–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
  • 26 July 2025Kristiansund BK 0–5 KFUM OsloEliteserien
  • 15 February 2025KFUM Oslo 0–0 Kristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs
  • 23 November 2024KFUM Oslo 1–2 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
  • 7 April 2024Kristiansund BK 1–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien

Leading scorers: KFUM Oslo and Kristiansund BK

KFUM Oslo

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 22 league goals as a side.

Kristiansund BK

  • L. Alvheim10 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.