Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Degerfors IF 3-0 IFK Goteborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 20% Degerfors IF, 25% draw, 55% IFK Goteborg — fair odds of 5.00, 4.00 and 1.82.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
IFK Goteborg at 55%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg
Line-ups
- 38Matvei IgonenG
- 16Sebastian OhlssonD
- 2Ahmad FaqaD
- 3Nikolai SkusethD
- 18Samba DiataraD
- 8Bilal HusseinM
- 4Kazper KarlssonM
- 23Robin DzabicM
- 17Arman TaranisM
- 20Elias BarsoumM
- 11Dijan VukojevicF
- 6Daniel SundgrenD
- 9Karim BouteraF
- 13Yiriyon GideonM
- 14Ludvig FritzsonF
- 7Sebastian OhlssonD
- 1Wille JakobssonG
- 15Nasiru MoroD
- 28Jesús HernándezD
- 22Nahom GirmaiM
- 12Viktor AnderssonG
- 18Felix ErikssonD
- 3August ErlingmarkD
- 6Hjörtur HermannssonD
- 22Noah TolfD
- 7Sebastian ClemmensenM
- 24Oliver MånssonM
- 23Kolbeinn ThordarsonM
- 14Tobias HeintzM
- 8Sam LarssonF
- 29Adam Bergmark WibergF
- 28Issaka SeiduD
- 15David KruseM
- 27Alfons BorénF
- 30Tiago CoimbraF
- 16Filip OttossonM
- 1Jonathan RasheedG
- 5Jonas BagerD
- 35Emil FasthM
- 21Leo RadakovicM
Form going into Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg
Degerfors IF
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Malmo FF9 August 2026
- L0-2away to IFK Goteborg2 August 2026
- L0-1Djurgardens IF25 July 2026
- L0-4away to Hammarby FF19 July 2026
IFK Goteborg
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Gent13 August 2026
- W3-2Kalmar FF9 August 2026
- L0-1Gent6 August 2026
- W2-0Degerfors IF2 August 2026
- W3-1away to FC Levadia Tallinn30 July 2026
What these results say
- Degerfors IF conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Degerfors IF failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Degerfors IF failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- IFK Goteborg scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- IFK Goteborg conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 20 |
| 10 | IFK Goteborg | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 39 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg
- 2 August 2026IFK Goteborg 2–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 8 March 2026IFK Goteborg 3–1 Degerfors IFSvenska Cupen
- 4 August 2025IFK Goteborg 3–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 19 May 2025Degerfors IF 1–3 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 19 August 2023Degerfors IF 1–2 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Degerfors IF and IFK Goteborg
Degerfors IF
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 23 league goals as a side.
IFK Goteborg
GoalsAssists
- S. Larsson83
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Degerfors IF beat IFK Goteborg 3–0. The model had leaned towards a win for IFK Goteborg at 55% and given a win for Degerfors IF 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Dijan Vukojevic 18' for Degerfors IF, Dijan Vukojevic 25' for Degerfors IF, Samba Diatara 30' for Degerfors IF.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.