16 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

Djurgardens IF vs AIK Stockholm Allsvenskan prediction & result

3Arena, Stockholm
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Djurgardens IF 1-3 AIK Stockholm.

Before kick-off the model made it 71% Djurgardens IF, 17% draw, 12% AIK Stockholm — fair odds of 1.41, 5.88 and 8.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Djurgardens IF at 71%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Djurgardens IF0%Draw1%AIK Stockholm99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
⚽Linus Carlstrandassist: Dino Beširović
25'
⚽Linus Carlstrandassist: Adrian Helm
Max Larsson
32'
39'
⚽Johan Hove
🔁Hampus Finndellout: Jeppe Okkels
46'
48'
Wilmer Olofsson
⚽Bo Åsulv Hegland
50'
53'
Sixten Gustafsson
58'
🔁Wilmer Olofssonout: Diogo Tomas
58'
🔁Adrian Helmout: Lukas Bergquist
72'
🔁Sixten Gustafssonout: Victor Andersson
72'
🔁Yannick Geigerout: Linus Järeteg
🔁Oskar Falleniusout: Nino Žugelj
73'
🔁Adam Stahlout: Piotr Johansson
73'
79'
Johan Hove
🔁Matias Siltanenout: Daniel Stensson
81'
🔁Patric Åslundout: Sander Finjord Ringberg
82'
84'
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
90+5'
Linus Carlstrand

Match stats — Djurgardens IF vs AIK Stockholm

63%Possession37%
16Shots11
3On target4
5Corners1

Line-ups

Djurgardens IF 4-2-3-1
  • 35Jacob RinneG
  • 18Adam StahlD
  • 21Mikael MarquésD
  • 4Jacob Une LarssonD
  • 24Max LarssonD
  • 20Matias SiltanenM
  • 14Hampus FinndellM
  • 8Patric ÅslundM
  • 16Bo Åsulv HeglandM
  • 11Oskar FalleniusM
  • 9Kristian Stromland LienF
Substitutes
  • 19Jeppe OkkelsF
  • 2Piotr JohanssonD
  • 23Nino ŽugeljF
  • 13Daniel StenssonM
  • 27Sander Finjord RingbergF
  • 30Lukas JonssonG
  • 25Daryl Tschoumy-NanaD
  • 7Christos AlmyrasM
  • 29Alexander JohanssonM
Coach: Jani Honkavaara
AIK Stockholm 3-4-3
  • 15Kristoffer NordfeldtG
  • 19Dino BeširovićD
  • 34Wilmer OlofssonD
  • 3Herve MatthysD
  • 8Johan HoveM
  • 46Yannick GeigerM
  • 18Abdihakin AliM
  • 22Adrian HelmM
  • 9Linus CarlstrandF
  • 16Sixten GustafssonF
  • 29Kevin FillingF
Substitutes
  • 33Diogo TomasD
  • 5Lukas BergquistD
  • 28Linus JäretegM
  • 11Victor AnderssonM
  • 30Kalle JoelssonG
  • 47Ladji CamaraD
  • 44David MalkiM
  • 43Nikolaj StaykovF
  • 41Mohammed ShillaM
Coach: Jose Riveiro

Form going into Djurgardens IF vs AIK Stockholm

Djurgardens IF

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Vasteras SK FK10 August 2026
  • W6-0Vasteras SK FK3 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Degerfors IF25 July 2026
  • D0-0away to Orgryte IS20 July 2026

AIK Stockholm

All competitions we cover

  • W4-3away to Orgryte IS8 August 2026
  • L0-3Orgryte IS2 August 2026
  • D0-0away to BK Hacken27 July 2026
  • W2-0Gais18 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Djurgardens IF2816485627+2952
8AIK Stockholm2811894649-341

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Djurgardens IF vs AIK Stockholm

  • 10 May 2026AIK Stockholm 2–4 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
  • 10 August 2025AIK Stockholm 0–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
  • 4 May 2025Djurgardens IF 1–1 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
  • 18 August 2024Djurgardens IF 0–2 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
  • 21 April 2024AIK Stockholm 2–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Djurgardens IF and AIK Stockholm

Djurgardens IF

GoalsAssists

  • K. Lien166
  • Bo Åsulv Hegland1116
  • C. Rosenquist81

AIK Stockholm

GoalsAssists

  • J. Hove113

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

AIK Stockholm won 3–1 at Djurgardens IF. The model had leaned towards a win for Djurgardens IF at 71% and given a win for AIK Stockholm 12%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 8 matches like this one. The goals: Linus Carlstrand 10' for AIK Stockholm, Linus Carlstrand 25' for AIK Stockholm, Johan Hove 39' for AIK Stockholm, Bo Åsulv Hegland 50' for Djurgardens IF.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.