Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Degerfors IF 0-1 Hammarby FF.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Degerfors IF, 30% draw, 41% Hammarby FF — fair odds of 3.45, 3.33 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hammarby FF at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF
Line-ups
- 38M. IgonenG
- 6D. SundgrenD
- 3Nikolai SkusethD
- 2Ahmad FaqaD
- 13M. HamiltonD
- 16S. OhlssonD
- 10N. MilleskogM
- 8B. HusseinM
- 22N. Girmai NetabayM
- 9K. BouteraF
- 11D. VukojevićF
- 20E. BarsoumM
- 18S. DiataraD
- 23R. DzabicM
- 1W. JakobssonG
- 15N. MoroD
- 7S. OhlssonD
- 17Arman TaranisF
- 28J. HernandezD
- 1W. HahnG
- 2E. SkoglundD
- 6I. FofanaD
- 3F. WintherD
- 16N. PerssonD
- 8M. KarlssonM
- 26M. MadjedM
- 28F. AdjeiM
- 31O. Steinke BranbyM
- 9V. LindM
- 7P. AbrahamF
- 20N. BesaraM
- 4V. ErikssonD
- 27F. JakobssonG
- 30S. KebbehF
- 24W. ReneckeD
- 5T. TekieM
- 15O. HagenF
- 17A. BoudriM
Form going into Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF
Degerfors IF
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Sirius14 September 2026
- W2-0Halmstad5 September 2026
- L0-2away to IF Elfsborg29 August 2026
- L0-2away to IF Brommapojkarna23 August 2026
- W3-0IFK Goteborg16 August 2026
Hammarby FF
All competitions we cover
- W3-1IF Brommapojkarna13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Orgryte IS6 September 2026
- L2-3away to AIK Stockholm30 August 2026
- W2-0Gais23 August 2026
- W4-0away to Kalmar FF16 August 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Degerfors IF had two goals or fewer.
- Hammarby FF scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 20 |
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 54 | 21 | +33 | 52 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF
- 19 July 2026Hammarby FF 4–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 3 November 2025Degerfors IF 1–1 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 26 May 2025Hammarby FF 1–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 25 May 2023Degerfors IF 2–2 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 2 April 2023Hammarby FF 3–1 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Degerfors IF and Hammarby FF
Degerfors IF
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.
Hammarby FF
GoalsAssists
- P. Abraham153
- V. Lind1012
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hammarby FF won 1–0 at Degerfors IF. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Hammarby FF at 41%. The goal: Paulos Abraham 46' for Hammarby FF.
How the call on Degerfors IF v Hammarby FF has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 32% / 30% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 9 updates, it read 29% / 30% / 41%: the biggest move is Degerfors IF's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Degerfors IF win29%▼ −3
- Draw30%=
- Hammarby FF win41%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.