Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Djurgardens IF 1-2 IF Elfsborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Djurgardens IF, 31% draw, 24% IF Elfsborg — fair odds of 2.22, 3.23 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Djurgardens IF at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg
Line-ups
- 35J. RinneG
- 18A. StåhlD
- 5M. TenhoD
- 4J. Une-LarssonD
- 2P. JohanssonD
- 13D. StenssonM
- 20M. SiltanenM
- 8P. ÅslundM
- 16Bo Åsulv HeglandM
- 19J. OkkelsM
- 9K. LienF
- 28A. AnderssonM
- 11O. FalleniusF
- 29A. JohanssonM
- 6P. LanghoffM
- 24M. LarssonM
- 21M. MarquesD
- 14C. RosenquistF
- 30Lukas Henrik JonssonG
- 10A. AbdulmalikM
- 31I. PetterssonG
- 16A. JensenD
- 6R. WikströmD
- 4T. IsherwoodD
- 23N. HultD
- 18J. MagnússonM
- 10S. OlssonM
- 29M. KamaraM
- 19J. BeckM
- 9A. ZeneliM
- 21L. ÃstmanF
- 25A. SigurpálssonF
- 5O. NordvallM
- 22D. KrasniqiF
- 15S. HedlundM
- 3J. EsengaD
- 2Viggo ElfstromD
- 27Oladimeji Oluwatimilehin AbdulmuizM
- 12T. SanderG
Form going into Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg
Djurgardens IF
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Gais14 September 2026
- W1-0away to Kalmar FF7 September 2026
- W2-0away to Mjallby AIF3 September 2026
- W4-0Mjallby AIF31 August 2026
- W3-0away to Malmo FF24 August 2026
IF Elfsborg
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Kalmar FF13 September 2026
- L1-2away to IF Brommapojkarna6 September 2026
- W2-0Degerfors IF29 August 2026
- D1-1away to IFK Goteborg23 August 2026
- W3-0Vasteras SK FK14 August 2026
What these results say
- Djurgardens IF won every one of these 5 matches.
- Djurgardens IF scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Djurgardens IF kept a clean sheet in every one of these 5 matches.
- IF Elfsborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Djurgardens IF | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53 | 24 | +29 | 49 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 39 | 26 | +13 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg
- 22 April 2026IF Elfsborg 2–1 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 19 July 2025Djurgardens IF 1–0 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 19 May 2025IF Elfsborg 4–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 22 November 2024Djurgardens IF 0–3 IF ElfsborgFriendlies Clubs
- 28 July 2024IF Elfsborg 1–2 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Djurgardens IF and IF Elfsborg
Djurgardens IF
GoalsAssists
- K. Lien166
- Bo Åsulv Hegland1115
- C. Rosenquist71
IF Elfsborg
GoalsAssists
- L. Ãstman92
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
IF Elfsborg won 2–1 at Djurgardens IF. The model had leaned towards a win for Djurgardens IF at 45% and given a win for IF Elfsborg 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Rasmus Wikström 44' for IF Elfsborg, Jacob Une Larsson 66' for Djurgardens IF, Simon Olsson 76' for IF Elfsborg.
How the call on Djurgardens IF v IF Elfsborg has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 50% / 28% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 10 updates, it read 45% / 31% / 24%: the biggest move is Djurgardens IF's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- Djurgardens IF win45%▼ −5
- Draw31%▲ +3
- IF Elfsborg win24%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.