IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: IF Elfsborg 1-0 Kalmar FF.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% IF Elfsborg, 28% draw, 21% Kalmar FF — fair odds of 1.96, 3.57 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts IF Elfsborg at 51% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF
Line-ups
- 31I. PetterssonG
- 16A. JensenD
- 6R. WikströmD
- 4T. IsherwoodD
- 23N. HultD
- 18J. MagnússonM
- 10S. OlssonM
- 29M. KamaraM
- 19J. BeckM
- 9A. ZeneliM
- 21L. ÃstmanF
- 25A. SigurpálssonF
- 3J. EsengaD
- 17P. FrickF
- 14G. GunnarssonF
- 22D. KrasniqiF
- 5O. NordvallM
- 12T. SanderG
- 27Oladimeji Oluwatimilehin AbdulmuizM
- 2Viggo ElfstromD
- 1S. BrolinG
- 26M. YlitolvaD
- 4J. LöfgrenD
- 47A. KeitaD
- 2V. LarssonD
- 10M. SöderbäckM
- 22T. LauritsenM
- 17C. GustafssonM
- 24C. SagoeM
- 21A. MagashyF
- 9M. StoltF
- 25N. ShamounM
- 39L. SætraD
- 5M. HallbergM
- 19E. DallF
- 7N. ChourakM
- 32C. AnderssonG
- 20A. AlmqvistD
Form going into IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF
IF Elfsborg
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to IF Brommapojkarna6 September 2026
- W2-0Degerfors IF29 August 2026
- D1-1away to IFK Goteborg23 August 2026
- W3-0Vasteras SK FK14 August 2026
- W1-0away to Mjallby AIF8 August 2026
Kalmar FF
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Djurgardens IF7 September 2026
- L0-1away to Halmstad29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Vasteras SK FK23 August 2026
- L0-4Hammarby FF16 August 2026
- L2-3away to IFK Goteborg9 August 2026
What these results say
- IF Elfsborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Kalmar FF did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Kalmar FF failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kalmar FF conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 39 | 26 | +13 | 43 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF
- 27 April 2026Kalmar FF 2–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 29 September 2024Kalmar FF 1–3 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 22 April 2024IF Elfsborg 1–2 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
- 17 September 2023IF Elfsborg 0–3 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
- 9 July 2023Kalmar FF 0–4 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: IF Elfsborg and Kalmar FF
IF Elfsborg
GoalsAssists
- L. Ãstman92
Kalmar FF
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 23 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
IF Elfsborg beat Kalmar FF 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for IF Elfsborg at 51%. The goal: Momoh Ibrahim Kamara 51' for IF Elfsborg.
How the call on IF Elfsborg v Kalmar FF has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 30% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 51% / 28% / 21%: the biggest move is IF Elfsborg's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- IF Elfsborg win51%▲ +6
- Draw28%▼ −2
- Kalmar FF win21%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.