10 October 2026, 16:30 UTC

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-0 Bnei Sakhnin.

Before kick-off the model made it 76% Maccabi Tel Aviv, 16% draw, 8% Bnei Sakhnin — fair odds of 1.32, 6.25 and 12.50.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Maccabi Tel Aviv at 76%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Maccabi Tel Aviv8%Draw90%Bnei Sakhnin2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

26'
Ahmad Taha
26'
maroun gantus
27'
Saná Gomes
55'
🔁itamar shviroout: Daniel Paraschiv
🔁Osher Davidaout: Hisham Layous
64'
68'
🔁Ahmed Ibrahim Salmanout: Ilay Hajaj
🔁Ester Soklerout: Elad Madmon
73'
🔁Sagiv Yehezkelout: Hélio Varela
73'
80'
🔁Modestas Vorobjovasout: Jubayer Bushnak
80'
🔁Mathew Anim Cudjoeout: Loai Halaf
Raz Shlomo
85'
89'
Ilay Hajaj
Hélio Varela
90'

Match stats — Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin

76%Possession24%
33Shots4
6On target1
13Corners2
2.56xG0.19

Goals against chances

Maccabi Tel Aviv0 from 2.56 xGless than the chances were worth
Bnei Sakhnin0 from 0.19 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-1-4-1
  • 1O. MelikaG
  • 2J. TavernierD
  • 5M. CamaraD
  • 13R. ShlomoD
  • 22N. Ben HarushD
  • 28I. SissokhoM
  • 77O. DavidaM
  • 42Dor PeretzM
  • 16G. KanichowskyM
  • 11S. YehezkelM
  • 9E. SoklerF
Substitutes
  • 18D. GlazerM
  • 41I. Ben HamoD
  • 6T. AsanteD
  • 33H. LayousF
  • 19E. MadmonF
  • 90R. MishpatiG
  • 30I. NoyM
  • 29Hélio VarelaF
  • 36I. ShaharM
Coach: Kenny Miller
Bnei Sakhnin 5-4-1
  • 1R. BălbărăuG
  • 13L. OwusuD
  • 2M. GantusD
  • 5I. Abu AbaidD
  • 4O. DahanD
  • 92Saná GomesD
  • 10M. Anim CudjoeM
  • 6A. TahaM
  • 8M. VorobjovasM
  • 29A. SalmanM
  • 7I. ShviroF
Substitutes
  • 22M. Abu NilG
  • 21M. Abu RiyaM
  • 11J. BushnaqF
  • 20M. GanameD
  • 28I. HagagM
  • 16L. HalafF
  • 24B. KhuriF
  • 9D. ParaschivF
  • 77A. SeferF
Coach: Y. Abukasis

Form going into Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Maccabi Netanya19 September 2026
  • W4-1Hapoel Tel Aviv14 September 2026
  • W4-1away to Hapoel Beer Sheva7 September 2026
  • W3-1Maccabi Haifa31 August 2026
  • D1-1FC Lugano27 August 2026

Bnei Sakhnin

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Hapoel Ramat Gan19 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Hapoel Haifa14 September 2026
  • L0-1Beitar Jerusalem7 September 2026
  • L1-2Maccabi Petah Tikva29 August 2026

What these results say

  • Maccabi Tel Aviv went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Bnei Sakhnin failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Bnei Sakhnin scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Bnei Sakhnin conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Maccabi Tel Aviv107303110+2124
7Bnei Sakhnin1034388013

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin

  • 10 January 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–0 Bnei SakhninLigat Ha'al
  • 28 September 2025Bnei Sakhnin 0–0 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
  • 16 February 2025Maccabi Tel Aviv 3–1 Bnei SakhninLigat Ha'al
  • 10 November 2024Bnei Sakhnin 0–4 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
  • 18 August 2024Maccabi Tel Aviv 2–1 Bnei SakhninToto Cup Ligat Al

Leading scorers: Maccabi Tel Aviv and Bnei Sakhnin

Maccabi Tel Aviv

GoalsAssists

  • Dor Peretz72
  • E. Sokler51
  • E. Madmon33

Bnei Sakhnin

No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Maccabi Tel Aviv and Bnei Sakhnin drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv at 76% and given a draw 16%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 2.56–0.19.

How the call on Maccabi Tel Aviv v Bnei Sakhnin has moved

First published on 26 Sep at 66% / 21% / 13% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 76% / 16% / 8%: the biggest move is Maccabi Tel Aviv's chance of winning, up 10 points.

  1. Maccabi Tel Aviv win76%▲ +10
  2. Draw16%▼ −5
  3. Bnei Sakhnin win8%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.