10 October 2026, 16:15 UTC

Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1-3 Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Ironi Kiryat Shmona, 26% draw, 51% Hapoel Tel Aviv — fair odds of 4.35, 3.85 and 1.96.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hapoel Tel Aviv at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ironi Kiryat Shmona0%Draw1%Hapoel Tel Aviv99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
⚽douglas owusu
Alexandre Mussolo Sola
44'
53'
⚽Emmanuel Boatengassist: yam el kancepolsky
🔁Alexandru Popout: Niv Michael Gabay
54'
55'
Fernand Mayembo
58'
⚽Omri Altman
🔁Itzik Shoolmaysterout: Bilal Shaheen
58'
🔁Alexandre Mussolo Solaout: Shay Sabah
58'
🔁Rufat Abdullazadaout: Mor Simantov
58'
62'
🔁Roee alkokinout: stav torial
62'
🔁Marcus Cocoout: Shahar Piven
🔁Ariel Sheratzkyout: nadav markovitch
65'
73'
🔁Omri Altmanout: Mor Buskila
73'
🔁Emmanuel Boatengout: Daniel Dappa
Shay Sabah
77'
78'
🔁douglas owusuout: Roy Korine
85'
Shahar Piven
•Bilal Shaheen
90+2'
⚽Amadou Sagna (pen)
90+4'

Match stats — Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

45%Possession55%
14Shots19
4On target6
2Corners7
1.75xG1.92

Goals against chances

Ironi Kiryat Shmona1 from 1.75 xGless than the chances were worth
Hapoel Tel Aviv3 from 1.92 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ironi Kiryat Shmona 4-2-3-1
  • 19DanielG
  • 20O. DarwishD
  • 26N. LjubisavljevićD
  • 32S. Ben-DavidD
  • 17I. ShoolmaysterD
  • 63Alexandre SolaM
  • 8Talles CostaM
  • 7A. SagnaM
  • 21R. AbdullazadəM
  • 10A. ShirdatzkiM
  • 9A. PopF
Substitutes
  • 39N. GabayF
  • 44S. EdriD
  • 12J. Al HalabiF
  • 24N. MarkovitchM
  • 11S. SabahF
  • 91B. ShaheenF
  • 16M. SimantovD
  • 28I. VaierD
  • 1Nikola DjurkovicG
Coach: S. Barda
Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-2-3-1
  • 22A. TzurG
  • 97M. CocoD
  • 5F. MayemboD
  • 4ChicoD
  • 32Y. LeliendalD
  • 98FalcãoM
  • 14E. KancepolskyM
  • 35D. OwusuM
  • 15R. AlkokinM
  • 51O. AltmanM
  • 9E. BoatengF
Substitutes
  • 11S. TorialF
  • 18T. ArchelD
  • 1Dor BenyaminiG
  • 27M. BuskilaF
  • 44D. DappaF
  • 7R. KorineF
  • 16D. LeidnerD
  • 23A. LemkinM
  • 21S. PivenD
Coach: E. Barda

Form going into Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Hapoel Beer Sheva19 September 2026
  • L0-4Maccabi Haifa14 September 2026
  • L2-4away to Hapoel Jerusalem5 September 2026
  • W2-0Ironi Tiberias29 August 2026

Hapoel Tel Aviv

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Hapoel Petah Tikva18 September 2026
  • L1-4away to Maccabi Tel Aviv14 September 2026
  • W4-0Hapoel Ramat Gan7 September 2026
  • W3-0Beitar Jerusalem3 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Hapoel Haifa30 August 2026

What these results say

  • Ironi Kiryat Shmona failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Ironi Kiryat Shmona conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Hapoel Tel Aviv had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Ironi Kiryat Shmona10217917-87
1Hapoel Tel Aviv10811216+1525

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

  • 16 August 2026Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1–2 Hapoel Tel AvivToto Cup Ligat Al
  • 13 December 2025Ironi Kiryat Shmona 2–2 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
  • 23 August 2025Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–1 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al
  • 6 May 2023Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–2 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al
  • 18 February 2023Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0–1 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Tel Aviv

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Hapoel Tel Aviv

GoalsAssists

  • R. Alkokin32
  • E. Boateng32
  • D. Dappa31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hapoel Tel Aviv won 3–1 at Ironi Kiryat Shmona. The model had made a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: douglas owusu 10' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, Emmanuel Boateng 53' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, Omri Altman 58' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, Amadou Sagna (penalty) 90+4' for Ironi Kiryat Shmona. On expected goals it finished 1.75–1.92.

How the call on Ironi Kiryat Shmona v Hapoel Tel Aviv has moved

First published on 26 Sep at 25% / 28% / 47% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 23% / 26% / 51%: the biggest move is Hapoel Tel Aviv's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Ironi Kiryat Shmona win23%▼ −2
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Hapoel Tel Aviv win51%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.