Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Ironi Tiberias 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Ironi Tiberias, 25% draw, 50% Hapoel Beer Sheva — fair odds of 4.00, 4.00 and 2.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Hapoel Beer Sheva at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 22I. SharonG
- 14G. SankerD
- 17R. UngerD
- 37O. BačoD
- 13Z. MorganD
- 47D. GolaniD
- 18E. ShamirM
- 3D. KeltjensM
- 8A. CohenM
- 9A. MiranyanF
- 11niv gotliebF
- 7S. FarhudF
- 84N. GbambléM
- 5N. ChenD
- 19G. Ma'atukD
- 27Y. SwisaM
- 77A. YehudaF
- 10B. CohenM
- 30M. BadjieF
- 1G. AmosG
- 1O. MarcianoG
- 2G. MizrahiD
- 44D. DiopD
- 4M. VítorD
- 5Pedro AmadorD
- 17A. ForsonM
- 25Lucas VenturaM
- 8M. Kna'anM
- 20J. EastF
- 66I. ZlatanovićF
- 70João VictorF
- 28N. YehoshuaM
- 45M. Abu RumiF
- 9Z. AhmedF
- 3M. BaltaxaD
- 11A. GanahF
- 15I. NachmiasD
- 7E. PeretzM
- 12I. RotmanD
- 34M. WolffG
Form going into Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Ironi Tiberias
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Maccabi Haifa19 September 2026
- D2-2Hapoel Jerusalem15 September 2026
- W2-1away to Maccabi Petah Tikva5 September 2026
- L0-2away to Ironi Kiryat Shmona29 August 2026
Hapoel Beer Sheva
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Ironi Kiryat Shmona19 September 2026
- D0-0Dinamo Zagreb16 September 2026
- W2-0away to Hapoel Petah Tikva13 September 2026
- L1-4Maccabi Tel Aviv7 September 2026
- D2-2Hapoel Haifa2 September 2026
What these results say
- Ironi Tiberias conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Ironi Tiberias failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Ironi Tiberias scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 4 |
| 3 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
- 20 December 2025Ironi Tiberias 3–0 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al
- 30 August 2025Hapoel Beer Sheva 7–0 Ironi TiberiasLigat Ha'al
- 15 February 2025Hapoel Beer Sheva 4–0 Ironi TiberiasLigat Ha'al
- 9 November 2024Ironi Tiberias 0–2 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al
- 18 August 2024Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–3 Ironi TiberiasToto Cup Ligat Al
Leading scorers: Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Beer Sheva
Ironi Tiberias
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
GoalsAssists
- I. Zlatanović50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hapoel Beer Sheva won 2–0 at Ironi Tiberias. The model had made a win for Hapoel Beer Sheva its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: João Victor 52' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, Forson Amankwah 90+7' for Hapoel Beer Sheva. On expected goals it finished 1.85–1.86.
How the call on Ironi Tiberias v Hapoel Beer Sheva has moved
First published on 26 Sep at 27% / 27% / 46% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 25% / 25% / 50%: the biggest move is Hapoel Beer Sheva's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Ironi Tiberias win25%▼ −2
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Hapoel Beer Sheva win50%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.