10 October 2026, 16:15 UTC

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-1 Maccabi Netanya.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Hapoel Petah Tikva, 28% draw, 38% Maccabi Netanya — fair odds of 2.94, 3.57 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Maccabi Netanya at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hapoel Petah Tikva96%Draw4%Maccabi Netanya0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Roee Davidassist: Stav Israeli
49'
•Roee David
51'
56'
🔁Nadav Niddamout: Dor Hugy
69'
🔁Oz Biluout: Maor Levi
69'
🔁Amit Cohenout: benny feldman
69'
🔁Basam Zaaruraout: Eylon Almog
🔁Roee Davidout: Noam Cohen
73'
Omer Peretz
74'
77'
benny feldman
🔁Edmond Asanteout: Harel Shalom
82'
87'
alon azugi
88'
🔁Aziz Ouattara Mohammedout: Valentin Simion
90'
Valentin Simion
🔁Yves Erick Bileout: Guy Badash
90+1'
🔁Roei Levyout: Euclides·Tavares Andrade
90+1'
🔁Boni Amianout: Tomer Altman
90+2'
90+4'
⚽Maor Levi (pen)

Match stats — Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya

31%Possession69%
3Shots14
1On target5
1Corners5
0.45xG2.19

Goals against chances

Hapoel Petah Tikva1 from 0.45 xGmore than the chances were worth
Maccabi Netanya1 from 2.19 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Hapoel Petah Tikva 4-2-3-1
  • 1O. KatzG
  • 12S. IsraeliD
  • 5A. Moucketou-MoussoundaD
  • 20O. IsraelovD
  • 72Y. NassarD
  • 6Etai EhudM
  • 29B. GontranM
  • 7R. LevyM
  • 16R. DavidM
  • 14E. AsanteM
  • 9E. BilleF
Substitutes
  • 24G. BadashF
  • 15Nachman Yacov Vita AsalD
  • 34Omri CohenF
  • 28Noam CohenM
  • 33Zohar GrinbergD
  • 18A. MashiahG
  • 3H. ShalomD
  • 77CléF
  • 8T. AltmanM
Coach: O. Peretz
Maccabi Netanya 4-3-3
  • 22SamuG
  • 12A. AzugiD
  • 23O. VerdonD
  • 6B. KonatéD
  • 24A. CohenD
  • 16B. ZaaruraM
  • 32A. OuattaraM
  • 13N. NiddamM
  • 10O. BiluF
  • 83Matheus DavóF
  • 7IsaacF
Substitutes
  • 21A. TalpaM
  • 9E. AlmogF
  • 1N. AntmanG
  • 44Benny FeldmanD
  • 11D. HugiF
  • 26K. JaberD
  • 5D. KulikovD
  • 15M. LeviM
  • 98G. SimionM
Coach: R. Levy

Form going into Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya

Hapoel Petah Tikva

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to Hapoel Tel Aviv18 September 2026
  • L0-2Hapoel Beer Sheva13 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Maccabi Haifa5 September 2026
  • W1-0Hapoel Jerusalem29 August 2026

Maccabi Netanya

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Maccabi Tel Aviv19 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Hapoel Ramat Gan14 September 2026
  • D1-1Hapoel Haifa7 September 2026
  • W4-1away to Beitar Jerusalem29 August 2026

What these results say

  • Hapoel Petah Tikva failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Hapoel Petah Tikva conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Maccabi Netanya conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Maccabi Netanya failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Maccabi Netanya scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Hapoel Petah Tikva10208517-126
6Maccabi Netanya10442168+816

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya

  • 5 August 2026Hapoel Petah Tikva 0–2 Maccabi NetanyaToto Cup Ligat Al
  • 31 December 2025Maccabi Netanya 0–2 Hapoel Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
  • 13 September 2025Hapoel Petah Tikva 3–1 Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
  • 29 July 2025Hapoel Petah Tikva 2–3 Maccabi NetanyaToto Cup Ligat Al
  • 19 May 2024Hapoel Petah Tikva 1–3 Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Hapoel Petah Tikva and Maccabi Netanya

Hapoel Petah Tikva

No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.

Maccabi Netanya

GoalsAssists

  • Matheus Davó52
  • O. Bilu33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hapoel Petah Tikva and Maccabi Netanya drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Maccabi Netanya at 38% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Roee David 49' for Hapoel Petah Tikva, Maor Levi (penalty) 90+4' for Maccabi Netanya. On expected goals it finished 0.45–2.19.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.