10 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Hapoel Haifa 2-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Hapoel Haifa, 25% draw, 28% Maccabi Petah Tikva — fair odds of 2.13, 4.00 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hapoel Haifa at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hapoel Haifa5%Draw91%Maccabi Petah Tikva4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Alon Turgemanassist: Shai Elias
7'
36'
🔁Lior Kasaout: Ido Cohen
C Diakité
45+1'
🔁C Diakitéout: Wahib·Habiballa
45'
58'
🔁Marko Rakonjacout: K. Spence
58'
🔁Eitan Tibiout: Bashar Abdach
🔁Arial Mendyout: Dor Malul
68'
🔁Shai Eliasout: Israel Sali Pahima
69'
70'
⚽Guy Deznet
75'
Aviv Salem
82'
🔁Liran Hazanout: Dan Lee-Yam
82'
🔁Aviv Salemout: Itay Baruch
82'
José Cortés
🔁Liran Rotmanout: Itai Zafrani
82'
•Itai Zafrani
88'
88'
Maor Erlich
Dario Župarić
90+2'
⚽Israel Sali Pahimaassist: Noam Cohen
90+4'

Match stats — Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva

48%Possession52%
13Shots8
5On target3
5Corners2
1.1xG0.54

Goals against chances

Hapoel Haifa2 from 1.10 xGmore than the chances were worth
Maccabi Petah Tikva1 from 0.54 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Hapoel Haifa 4-2-3-1
  • 1Y. GerafiG
  • 2N. CohenD
  • 13D. ŽuparićD
  • 5I. KričakD
  • 77A. MendyD
  • 55N. SabagM
  • 8Cheick KeitaM
  • 21C DiakitéM
  • 10S. EliasM
  • 7L. RotmanM
  • 17A. TurgemanF
Substitutes
  • 18Itay ZafraniF
  • 4D. MalulD
  • 11I. S. FahimaM
  • 23M. AmbarG
  • 3T. ArbelD
  • 25G. DibaD
  • 19S. ElkayamD
  • 14W. HabiballaF
  • 20A. HamanM
Coach: H. Silbas
Maccabi Petah Tikva 4-5-1
  • 39M. ErlichG
  • 26G. DeznetD
  • 18E. TibiD
  • 6E. YaoD
  • 17A. SalemD
  • 9S. OwusuM
  • 24L. KasaM
  • 99Eyal InbrumM
  • 53L. HazanM
  • 77J. CortésM
  • 97M. RakonjacF
Substitutes
  • 22Bashar AbdachD
  • 12I. BaruchD
  • 20I. CohenM
  • 30O. DadyaD
  • 8Dan Lee-YamD
  • 7K. SpenceF
  • 1D. HevronG
  • 27Y. KorenF
  • 10A. LugassyF
Coach: Z. Arie

Form going into Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva

Hapoel Haifa

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Beitar Jerusalem19 September 2026
  • W3-1Bnei Sakhnin14 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Maccabi Netanya7 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Hapoel Beer Sheva2 September 2026
  • D0-0Hapoel Tel Aviv30 August 2026

Maccabi Petah Tikva

All competitions we cover

  • L2-4Hapoel Jerusalem19 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Beitar Jerusalem15 September 2026
  • L1-2Ironi Tiberias5 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Bnei Sakhnin29 August 2026

What these results say

  • Hapoel Haifa failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Hapoel Haifa scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Hapoel Haifa conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Maccabi Petah Tikva scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Maccabi Petah Tikva conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Maccabi Petah Tikva had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Hapoel Haifa103341318-512
9Maccabi Petah Tikva103161623-710

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva

  • 4 January 2025Hapoel Haifa 5–1 Maccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
  • 21 September 2024Maccabi Petah Tikva 0–0 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 5 March 2024Hapoel Haifa 0–3 Maccabi Petah TikvaState Cup
  • 8 January 2024Maccabi Petah Tikva 0–3 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 2 September 2023Hapoel Haifa 2–2 Maccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Hapoel Haifa and Maccabi Petah Tikva

Hapoel Haifa

GoalsAssists

  • A. Turgeman51

Maccabi Petah Tikva

GoalsAssists

  • J. Cortés41
  • L. Hazan31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hapoel Haifa beat Maccabi Petah Tikva 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Hapoel Haifa at 47%. The goals: Alon Turgeman 7' for Hapoel Haifa, Guy Deznet 70' for Maccabi Petah Tikva, Israel Sali Pahima 90+4' for Hapoel Haifa. On expected goals it finished 1.10–0.54.

How the call on Hapoel Haifa v Maccabi Petah Tikva has moved

First published on 26 Sep at 44% / 27% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 47% / 25% / 28%: the biggest move is Hapoel Haifa's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Hapoel Haifa win47%▲ +3
  2. Draw25%▼ −2
  3. Maccabi Petah Tikva win28%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.