19 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Netanya Stadium, Netanya
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Maccabi Netanya 1-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Maccabi Netanya, 26% draw, 41% Maccabi Tel Aviv — fair odds of 3.03, 3.85 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Maccabi Tel Aviv at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Maccabi Netanya0%Draw5%Maccabi Tel Aviv95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

19'
🔁Hélio Varelaout: Ido Shahar
45+5'
⚽Dor Peretz (pen)
🔁Maor Leviout: Isaac Rodrigues de Lima
45'
⚽Oz Biluassist: Basam Zaarura
48'
59'
Osher Davida
🔁Nadav Niddamout: Omri Shamir
60'
Oz Bilu
60'
63'
🔁Ester Soklerout: Elad Madmon
63'
🔁Osher Davidaout: Hisham Layous
67'
Issouf Bemba Sissokho
Bakary Konaté
71'
74'
⚽James Tavernier (pen)
74'
⚽James Tavernier
79'
Elad Madmon
🔁Oz Biluout: Alex Talpa
79'
🔁Basam Zaaruraout: Eylon Almog
79'
83'
🔁Dor Peretzout: Itamar Noy
83'
🔁Ido Shaharout: Sagiv Yehezkel
🔁Aziz Ouattara Mohammedout: Dor Hugy
88'
90+1'
Hisham Layous

Match stats — Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

35%Possession65%
11Shots13
4On target8
8Corners5

Line-ups

Maccabi Netanya 4-2-3-1
  • 22SamuG
  • 12A. AzugiD
  • 6B. KonatéD
  • 44Benny FeldmanD
  • 24A. CohenD
  • 13N. NiddamM
  • 10O. BiluM
  • 32A. OuattaraM
  • 15M. LeviM
  • 16B. ZaaruraM
  • 83Matheus DavóF
Substitutes
  • 1N. AntmanG
  • 26K. JaberD
  • 5D. KulikovD
  • 2G. MorozovD
  • 18O. ShamirM
  • 7IsaacF
  • 9E. AlmogF
  • 11D. HugiF
  • 21A. TalpaM
Coach: R. Levy
Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-1-4-1
  • 1O. MelikaG
  • 2J. TavernierD
  • 6T. AsanteD
  • 13R. ShlomoD
  • 22N. Ben HarushD
  • 28I. SissokhoM
  • 77O. DavidaM
  • 42Dor PeretzM
  • 16G. KanichowskyM
  • 29Hélio VarelaM
  • 9E. SoklerF
Substitutes
  • 19E. MadmonF
  • 30I. NoyM
  • 18D. GlazerM
  • 33H. LayousF
  • 36I. ShaharM
  • 11S. YehezkelD
  • 41I. Ben HamoD
  • 90R. MishpatiG
Coach: Kenny Miller

Form going into Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Maccabi Netanya

Ligat Ha'al

  • L0-2away to Hapoel Ramat Gan14 September 2026

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Ligat Ha'al

  • W4-1Hapoel Tel Aviv14 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Maccabi Netanya8242117+410
1Maccabi Tel Aviv8620248+1620

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

  • 16 August 2026Maccabi Netanya 0–1 Maccabi Tel AvivToto Cup Ligat Al
  • 21 December 2025Maccabi Netanya 1–1 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
  • 31 August 2025Maccabi Tel Aviv 4–0 Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
  • 12 May 2025Maccabi Netanya 1–6 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
  • 5 April 2025Maccabi Tel Aviv 4–1 Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
  • 18 January 2025Maccabi Tel Aviv 4–1 Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Maccabi Netanya and Maccabi Tel Aviv

Maccabi Netanya

GoalsAssists

  • Matheus Davó50
  • O. Bilu23

Maccabi Tel Aviv

GoalsAssists

  • Dor Peretz61
  • E. Madmon22
  • O. Davida21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Maccabi Tel Aviv won 2–1 at Maccabi Netanya. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv at 41%. The goals: Dor Peretz (penalty) 45+5' for Maccabi Tel Aviv, Oz Bilu 48' for Maccabi Netanya, James Tavernier 74' for Maccabi Tel Aviv.

How the call on Maccabi Netanya v Maccabi Tel Aviv has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 46% / 27% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 33% / 26% / 41%: the biggest move is Maccabi Tel Aviv's chance of winning, up 14 points.

  1. Maccabi Netanya win33%▼ −13
  2. Draw26%▼ −1
  3. Maccabi Tel Aviv win41%▲ +14

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.