Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Maccabi Haifa 3-2 Ironi Tiberias.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% Maccabi Haifa, 25% draw, 19% Ironi Tiberias — fair odds of 1.79, 4.00 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Maccabi Haifa at 56% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias
Line-ups
- 55O. GlazerG
- 25J. BatailleD
- 21N. LonwijkD
- 35N. SztejfmanD
- 16K. SaiefD
- 19E. AzoulayM
- 4A. MuhammadM
- 30Pedro BrazãoM
- 10BruninhoM
- 11K. GorréM
- 9A. NovakovićF
- 3S. GoldbergD
- 45C. DonF
- 90G. AlvinG
- 29Iyad KhalailiM
- 8Y. LeviM
- 18G. MelamedF
- 7Y. MordechaiM
- 36N. RatnerD
- 44PedrãoD
- 22I. SharonG
- 14G. SankerD
- 17R. UngerD
- 37O. BačoD
- 13Z. MorganD
- 47D. GolaniD
- 23C. KouakouM
- 8A. CohenM
- 18E. ShamirM
- 30M. BadjieM
- 12Ghanam CaseF
- 10B. CohenM
- 1G. AmosG
- 11S. FarhudF
- 84N. GbambléM
- 77A. YehudaF
- 5N. ChenD
- 19G. Ma'atukD
- 9A. MiranyanF
- 27Y. SwisaM
Form going into Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias
Maccabi Haifa
Ligat Ha'al
- W4-0away to Ironi Kiryat Shmona14 September 2026
Ironi Tiberias
Ligat Ha'al
- D2-2Hapoel Jerusalem15 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Haifa | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 18 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias
- 4 August 2026Maccabi Haifa 4–2 Ironi TiberiasToto Cup Ligat Al
- 31 January 2026Maccabi Haifa 3–2 Ironi TiberiasLigat Ha'al
- 25 October 2025Ironi Tiberias 1–1 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
- 15 December 2024Ironi Tiberias 0–0 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
- 24 August 2024Maccabi Haifa 4–0 Ironi TiberiasLigat Ha'al
Leading scorers: Maccabi Haifa and Ironi Tiberias
Maccabi Haifa
GoalsAssists
- A. Novaković41
- Bruninho35
- E. Azoulay30
Ironi Tiberias
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Maccabi Haifa beat Ironi Tiberias 3–2. The model had made a win for Maccabi Haifa its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Andrija Novakovich 6' for Maccabi Haifa, Ghanam Case 28' for Ironi Tiberias, Ghanam Case (penalty) 57' for Ironi Tiberias, Kenji Gorre (penalty) 63' for Maccabi Haifa, Andrija Novakovich 69' for Maccabi Haifa.
How the call on Maccabi Haifa v Ironi Tiberias has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 44% / 31% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 56% / 25% / 19%: the biggest move is Maccabi Haifa's chance of winning, up 12 points.
- Maccabi Haifa win56%▲ +12
- Draw25%▼ −6
- Ironi Tiberias win19%▼ −6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.